Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with only risky assets

Time consistency and optimal diversification criteria are popular in the dynamic portfolio construction in practice. This paper is devoted to the exact analytical solution of the time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with assets that can be all risky in a continuous-time economy, of whic...

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Main Author: Pun, Chi Seng
Other Authors: School of Physical and Mathematical Sciences
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/85117
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/46283
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author Pun, Chi Seng
author2 School of Physical and Mathematical Sciences
author_facet School of Physical and Mathematical Sciences
Pun, Chi Seng
author_sort Pun, Chi Seng
collection NTU
description Time consistency and optimal diversification criteria are popular in the dynamic portfolio construction in practice. This paper is devoted to the exact analytical solution of the time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with assets that can be all risky in a continuous-time economy, of which the time-consistent global minimum-variance portfolio selection is a special case. Our solution generalizes the studies with a risk-free asset in the sense that one of the risky assets can be set as risk-free. By applying the extended dynamic programming, we manage to derive the exact analytical solution of the time-consistent mean-variance strategy with risky assets via the solution of an Abel differential equation. To stabilize the solution, we derive an analytical expansion for the Abel differential equation with any desired accuracy. In addition, we derive the statistical properties of the optimal strategy and prove a separation theorem. Moreover, we establish the links of time-consistent strategy with pre-commitment and myopic strategies and investigate the curse of dimensionality on the time-consistent strategies. We show that under the low-dimensional setting, the intertemporal hedging demands are significant; however, under the high-dimensional setting, the time-consistent strategies are approximately equivalent to myopic strategies, in the presence of estimation risk. Empirical studies are conducted to illustrate and verify our results.
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spelling ntu-10356/851172023-02-28T19:31:32Z Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with only risky assets Pun, Chi Seng School of Physical and Mathematical Sciences Dynamic Global Minimum-Variance Strategy DRNTU::Science::Mathematics Time-consistent Strategy Time consistency and optimal diversification criteria are popular in the dynamic portfolio construction in practice. This paper is devoted to the exact analytical solution of the time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with assets that can be all risky in a continuous-time economy, of which the time-consistent global minimum-variance portfolio selection is a special case. Our solution generalizes the studies with a risk-free asset in the sense that one of the risky assets can be set as risk-free. By applying the extended dynamic programming, we manage to derive the exact analytical solution of the time-consistent mean-variance strategy with risky assets via the solution of an Abel differential equation. To stabilize the solution, we derive an analytical expansion for the Abel differential equation with any desired accuracy. In addition, we derive the statistical properties of the optimal strategy and prove a separation theorem. Moreover, we establish the links of time-consistent strategy with pre-commitment and myopic strategies and investigate the curse of dimensionality on the time-consistent strategies. We show that under the low-dimensional setting, the intertemporal hedging demands are significant; however, under the high-dimensional setting, the time-consistent strategies are approximately equivalent to myopic strategies, in the presence of estimation risk. Empirical studies are conducted to illustrate and verify our results. Accepted version 2018-10-11T05:28:09Z 2019-12-06T15:57:24Z 2018-10-11T05:28:09Z 2019-12-06T15:57:24Z 2018 2018 Journal Article Pun, C. S. (2018). Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with only risky assets. Economic Modelling. In Press. 0264-9993 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/85117 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/46283 10.1016/j.econmod.2018.07.002 208515 en Economic Modelling © 2018 Elsevier. This is the author created version of a work that has been peer reviewed and accepted for publication by Economic Modelling, Elsevier. It incorporates referee’s comments but changes resulting from the publishing process, such as copyediting, structural formatting, may not be reflected in this document. The published version is available at: [http://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2018.07.002]. 30 p. application/pdf
spellingShingle Dynamic Global Minimum-Variance Strategy
DRNTU::Science::Mathematics
Time-consistent Strategy
Pun, Chi Seng
Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with only risky assets
title Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with only risky assets
title_full Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with only risky assets
title_fullStr Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with only risky assets
title_full_unstemmed Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with only risky assets
title_short Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with only risky assets
title_sort time consistent mean variance portfolio selection with only risky assets
topic Dynamic Global Minimum-Variance Strategy
DRNTU::Science::Mathematics
Time-consistent Strategy
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/85117
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/46283
work_keys_str_mv AT punchiseng timeconsistentmeanvarianceportfolioselectionwithonlyriskyassets