Evaluation of the relative effectiveness of the 2017 updated Manchester scoring system for predicting BRCA1/2 mutations in a Southeast Asian country

Background : Germline mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes have significant clinical implications for both risk-reducing and early surveillance management. The third and most recent revision of the Manchester scoring system (MSS3) used to distinguish patients indicated for germline BRCA1/2 testing...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Chew, Winston, Moorakonda, Rajesh Babu, Courtney, Eliza, Soh, Hazel, Li, Shao Tzu, Chen, Yanni, Shaw, Tarryn, Allen, John Carson, Evans, Dafydd Gareth R., Ngeow, Joanne
Other Authors: Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine (LKCMedicine)
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/85532
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/49224
_version_ 1811678719725535232
author Chew, Winston
Moorakonda, Rajesh Babu
Courtney, Eliza
Soh, Hazel
Li, Shao Tzu
Chen, Yanni
Shaw, Tarryn
Allen, John Carson
Evans, Dafydd Gareth R.
Ngeow, Joanne
author2 Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine (LKCMedicine)
author_facet Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine (LKCMedicine)
Chew, Winston
Moorakonda, Rajesh Babu
Courtney, Eliza
Soh, Hazel
Li, Shao Tzu
Chen, Yanni
Shaw, Tarryn
Allen, John Carson
Evans, Dafydd Gareth R.
Ngeow, Joanne
author_sort Chew, Winston
collection NTU
description Background : Germline mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes have significant clinical implications for both risk-reducing and early surveillance management. The third and most recent revision of the Manchester scoring system (MSS3) used to distinguish patients indicated for germline BRCA1/2 testing included further adjustments for triple negative breast cancer, high-grade serous ovarian cancer and human epidermal growth factor 2 (HER2) receptor status. This study aims to evaluate the relative effectiveness of MSS3 in a Southeast Asian population. Methods : All patients in our centre were tested using next-generation sequencing (NGS) panels that included full gene sequencing as well as coverage for large deletions/duplications in BRCA1/2. We calculated MSS1-3 scores for index patients between 2014 and 2017 who had undergone BRCA1/2 genetic testing and recorded their genetic test results. MSS1-3 outcomes were compared using receiver operating characteristic analysis, while associations with predictors were investigated using Fisher’s exact test and logistics regression. Calculations were performed using Medcalc17. Results : Of the 330 included patients, 47 (14.2%) were found to have a germline mutation in BRCA1 or BRCA2. A positive HER2 receptor was associated with a lower likelihood of a BRCA1/2mutation (OR=0.125, 95% CI 0.016 to 0.955; P=0.007), while high-grade serous ovarian cancer was conversely associated with an increased likelihood of a BRCA1/2 mutation (OR=5.128, 95% CI 1.431 to 18.370; P=0.012). At the 10% threshold, 43.0% (142/330) of patients were indicated for testing under MSS3, compared with 35.8% (118/330) for MSS1% and 36.4% (120/330) for MSS2. At the 10% threshold, MSS3 sensitivity was 91.5% and specificity 65.0%, significantly better than the previous MSS1 (P=0.037) and MSS2 (P=0.032) models. Conclusion : Our results indicate that the updated MSS3 outperforms previous iterations and relative to the Manchester population, is just as effective in identifying patients with BRCA1/2 mutations in a Southeast Asian population.
first_indexed 2024-10-01T02:57:44Z
format Journal Article
id ntu-10356/85532
institution Nanyang Technological University
language English
last_indexed 2024-10-01T02:57:44Z
publishDate 2019
record_format dspace
spelling ntu-10356/855322020-03-07T12:57:23Z Evaluation of the relative effectiveness of the 2017 updated Manchester scoring system for predicting BRCA1/2 mutations in a Southeast Asian country Chew, Winston Moorakonda, Rajesh Babu Courtney, Eliza Soh, Hazel Li, Shao Tzu Chen, Yanni Shaw, Tarryn Allen, John Carson Evans, Dafydd Gareth R. Ngeow, Joanne Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine (LKCMedicine) Science::Medicine BRCA 1 HER2 Receptor Background : Germline mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes have significant clinical implications for both risk-reducing and early surveillance management. The third and most recent revision of the Manchester scoring system (MSS3) used to distinguish patients indicated for germline BRCA1/2 testing included further adjustments for triple negative breast cancer, high-grade serous ovarian cancer and human epidermal growth factor 2 (HER2) receptor status. This study aims to evaluate the relative effectiveness of MSS3 in a Southeast Asian population. Methods : All patients in our centre were tested using next-generation sequencing (NGS) panels that included full gene sequencing as well as coverage for large deletions/duplications in BRCA1/2. We calculated MSS1-3 scores for index patients between 2014 and 2017 who had undergone BRCA1/2 genetic testing and recorded their genetic test results. MSS1-3 outcomes were compared using receiver operating characteristic analysis, while associations with predictors were investigated using Fisher’s exact test and logistics regression. Calculations were performed using Medcalc17. Results : Of the 330 included patients, 47 (14.2%) were found to have a germline mutation in BRCA1 or BRCA2. A positive HER2 receptor was associated with a lower likelihood of a BRCA1/2mutation (OR=0.125, 95% CI 0.016 to 0.955; P=0.007), while high-grade serous ovarian cancer was conversely associated with an increased likelihood of a BRCA1/2 mutation (OR=5.128, 95% CI 1.431 to 18.370; P=0.012). At the 10% threshold, 43.0% (142/330) of patients were indicated for testing under MSS3, compared with 35.8% (118/330) for MSS1% and 36.4% (120/330) for MSS2. At the 10% threshold, MSS3 sensitivity was 91.5% and specificity 65.0%, significantly better than the previous MSS1 (P=0.037) and MSS2 (P=0.032) models. Conclusion : Our results indicate that the updated MSS3 outperforms previous iterations and relative to the Manchester population, is just as effective in identifying patients with BRCA1/2 mutations in a Southeast Asian population. 2019-07-09T09:12:02Z 2019-12-06T16:05:28Z 2019-07-09T09:12:02Z 2019-12-06T16:05:28Z 2018 Journal Article Chew, W., Moorakonda, R. B., Courtney, E., Soh, H., Li, S. T., Chen, Y., . . . Ngeow, J. (2018). Evaluation of the relative effectiveness of the 2017 updated Manchester scoring system for predicting BRCA1/2 mutations in a Southeast Asian country. Journal of Medical Genetics, 55(5), 344-350. doi:10.1136/jmedgenet-2017-105073 0022-2593 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/85532 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/49224 10.1136/jmedgenet-2017-105073 en Journal of Medical Genetics
spellingShingle Science::Medicine
BRCA 1
HER2 Receptor
Chew, Winston
Moorakonda, Rajesh Babu
Courtney, Eliza
Soh, Hazel
Li, Shao Tzu
Chen, Yanni
Shaw, Tarryn
Allen, John Carson
Evans, Dafydd Gareth R.
Ngeow, Joanne
Evaluation of the relative effectiveness of the 2017 updated Manchester scoring system for predicting BRCA1/2 mutations in a Southeast Asian country
title Evaluation of the relative effectiveness of the 2017 updated Manchester scoring system for predicting BRCA1/2 mutations in a Southeast Asian country
title_full Evaluation of the relative effectiveness of the 2017 updated Manchester scoring system for predicting BRCA1/2 mutations in a Southeast Asian country
title_fullStr Evaluation of the relative effectiveness of the 2017 updated Manchester scoring system for predicting BRCA1/2 mutations in a Southeast Asian country
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of the relative effectiveness of the 2017 updated Manchester scoring system for predicting BRCA1/2 mutations in a Southeast Asian country
title_short Evaluation of the relative effectiveness of the 2017 updated Manchester scoring system for predicting BRCA1/2 mutations in a Southeast Asian country
title_sort evaluation of the relative effectiveness of the 2017 updated manchester scoring system for predicting brca1 2 mutations in a southeast asian country
topic Science::Medicine
BRCA 1
HER2 Receptor
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/85532
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/49224
work_keys_str_mv AT chewwinston evaluationoftherelativeeffectivenessofthe2017updatedmanchesterscoringsystemforpredictingbrca12mutationsinasoutheastasiancountry
AT moorakondarajeshbabu evaluationoftherelativeeffectivenessofthe2017updatedmanchesterscoringsystemforpredictingbrca12mutationsinasoutheastasiancountry
AT courtneyeliza evaluationoftherelativeeffectivenessofthe2017updatedmanchesterscoringsystemforpredictingbrca12mutationsinasoutheastasiancountry
AT sohhazel evaluationoftherelativeeffectivenessofthe2017updatedmanchesterscoringsystemforpredictingbrca12mutationsinasoutheastasiancountry
AT lishaotzu evaluationoftherelativeeffectivenessofthe2017updatedmanchesterscoringsystemforpredictingbrca12mutationsinasoutheastasiancountry
AT chenyanni evaluationoftherelativeeffectivenessofthe2017updatedmanchesterscoringsystemforpredictingbrca12mutationsinasoutheastasiancountry
AT shawtarryn evaluationoftherelativeeffectivenessofthe2017updatedmanchesterscoringsystemforpredictingbrca12mutationsinasoutheastasiancountry
AT allenjohncarson evaluationoftherelativeeffectivenessofthe2017updatedmanchesterscoringsystemforpredictingbrca12mutationsinasoutheastasiancountry
AT evansdafyddgarethr evaluationoftherelativeeffectivenessofthe2017updatedmanchesterscoringsystemforpredictingbrca12mutationsinasoutheastasiancountry
AT ngeowjoanne evaluationoftherelativeeffectivenessofthe2017updatedmanchesterscoringsystemforpredictingbrca12mutationsinasoutheastasiancountry