An evolving interval type-2 fuzzy inference system for renewable energy prediction intervals

Renewable energy is fast becoming a mainstay in today’s energy scenario. Some of the main sources of renewable engery are wind, solar in addition to waves,tides,etc. These renewable energy-based production, is however inefficient from a practical as well as financial standpoint. The main reason...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Nguyen, Trong Trung Anh
Other Authors: Sundaram Suresh
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/88844
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/45996
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author Nguyen, Trong Trung Anh
author2 Sundaram Suresh
author_facet Sundaram Suresh
Nguyen, Trong Trung Anh
author_sort Nguyen, Trong Trung Anh
collection NTU
description Renewable energy is fast becoming a mainstay in today’s energy scenario. Some of the main sources of renewable engery are wind, solar in addition to waves,tides,etc. These renewable energy-based production, is however inefficient from a practical as well as financial standpoint. The main reason is being the inability to forecast the exact energy that could be generated. This thesis develops a forecasting approach using interval type-2 fuzzy inferences system to address prediction intervals. The system has been adapted employing a gradient descent learning algorithm and an extended kalman filtering method. Meta-cognition is integrated into the system to improve the learning ability and prevent over-fitting. The proposed systems are used in two real-world renewable energy problems: wind and wave prediction. The wave measurement data were collected from directional waveriders deployed offshore Singapore. The experiments are then conducted on the wave energy characteristics and wind speed forecasting problems.
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spelling ntu-10356/888442020-11-01T04:53:46Z An evolving interval type-2 fuzzy inference system for renewable energy prediction intervals Nguyen, Trong Trung Anh Sundaram Suresh Interdisciplinary Graduate School (IGS) Energy Research Institute @NTU DRNTU::Engineering::Materials Renewable energy is fast becoming a mainstay in today’s energy scenario. Some of the main sources of renewable engery are wind, solar in addition to waves,tides,etc. These renewable energy-based production, is however inefficient from a practical as well as financial standpoint. The main reason is being the inability to forecast the exact energy that could be generated. This thesis develops a forecasting approach using interval type-2 fuzzy inferences system to address prediction intervals. The system has been adapted employing a gradient descent learning algorithm and an extended kalman filtering method. Meta-cognition is integrated into the system to improve the learning ability and prevent over-fitting. The proposed systems are used in two real-world renewable energy problems: wind and wave prediction. The wave measurement data were collected from directional waveriders deployed offshore Singapore. The experiments are then conducted on the wave energy characteristics and wind speed forecasting problems. Doctor of Philosophy 2018-09-13T06:19:05Z 2019-12-06T17:12:07Z 2018-09-13T06:19:05Z 2019-12-06T17:12:07Z 2018 Thesis Nguyen, T. T. A. (2018). An evolving interval type-2 fuzzy inference system for renewable energy prediction intervals. Doctoral thesis, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. https://hdl.handle.net/10356/88844 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/45996 10.32657/10220/45996 en 148 p. application/pdf
spellingShingle DRNTU::Engineering::Materials
Nguyen, Trong Trung Anh
An evolving interval type-2 fuzzy inference system for renewable energy prediction intervals
title An evolving interval type-2 fuzzy inference system for renewable energy prediction intervals
title_full An evolving interval type-2 fuzzy inference system for renewable energy prediction intervals
title_fullStr An evolving interval type-2 fuzzy inference system for renewable energy prediction intervals
title_full_unstemmed An evolving interval type-2 fuzzy inference system for renewable energy prediction intervals
title_short An evolving interval type-2 fuzzy inference system for renewable energy prediction intervals
title_sort evolving interval type 2 fuzzy inference system for renewable energy prediction intervals
topic DRNTU::Engineering::Materials
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/88844
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/45996
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