Forecasting southern California earthquakes
Since 1978 and 1979, California has had a significantly higher frequency of moderate to large earthquakes than in the preceding 25 years. In the past such periods have also been associated with major destructive earthquakes, of magnitude 7 or greater, and the annual probability of occurrence of such...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
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2013
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| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10356/95489 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/9252 |
| _version_ | 1826111960361467904 |
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| author | Sieh, Kerry Raleigh, C. B. Sykes, L. R. Anderson, D. L. |
| author_facet | Sieh, Kerry Raleigh, C. B. Sykes, L. R. Anderson, D. L. |
| author_sort | Sieh, Kerry |
| collection | NTU |
| description | Since 1978 and 1979, California has had a significantly higher frequency of moderate to large earthquakes than in the preceding 25 years. In the past such periods have also been associated with major destructive earthquakes, of magnitude 7 or greater, and the annual probability of occurrence of such an event is now 13 percent in California. The increase in seismicity is associated with a marked deviation in the pattern of strain accumulation, a correlation that is physically plausible. Although great earthquakes (magnitude greater than 7.5) are too infrequent to have clear associations with any pattern of seismicity that is now observed, the San Andreas fault in southern California has accumulated sufficient potential displacement since the last rupture in 1857 to generate a great earthquake along part or all of its length. |
| first_indexed | 2024-10-01T02:59:25Z |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | ntu-10356/95489 |
| institution | Nanyang Technological University |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-10-01T02:59:25Z |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | ntu-10356/954892020-03-07T12:45:25Z Forecasting southern California earthquakes Sieh, Kerry Raleigh, C. B. Sykes, L. R. Anderson, D. L. DRNTU::Science::Geology::Volcanoes and earthquakes Since 1978 and 1979, California has had a significantly higher frequency of moderate to large earthquakes than in the preceding 25 years. In the past such periods have also been associated with major destructive earthquakes, of magnitude 7 or greater, and the annual probability of occurrence of such an event is now 13 percent in California. The increase in seismicity is associated with a marked deviation in the pattern of strain accumulation, a correlation that is physically plausible. Although great earthquakes (magnitude greater than 7.5) are too infrequent to have clear associations with any pattern of seismicity that is now observed, the San Andreas fault in southern California has accumulated sufficient potential displacement since the last rupture in 1857 to generate a great earthquake along part or all of its length. 2013-02-26T03:43:11Z 2019-12-06T19:15:53Z 2013-02-26T03:43:11Z 2019-12-06T19:15:53Z 1982 1982 Journal Article Raleigh, C. B., Sieh, K., Sykes, L. R., & Anderson, D. L. (1982). Forecasting southern California earthquakes. Science, 217(4565), 1097-1104. 0036-8075 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/95489 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/9252 10.1126/science.217.4565.1097 en Science © 1982 American Association for the Advancement of Science |
| spellingShingle | DRNTU::Science::Geology::Volcanoes and earthquakes Sieh, Kerry Raleigh, C. B. Sykes, L. R. Anderson, D. L. Forecasting southern California earthquakes |
| title | Forecasting southern California earthquakes |
| title_full | Forecasting southern California earthquakes |
| title_fullStr | Forecasting southern California earthquakes |
| title_full_unstemmed | Forecasting southern California earthquakes |
| title_short | Forecasting southern California earthquakes |
| title_sort | forecasting southern california earthquakes |
| topic | DRNTU::Science::Geology::Volcanoes and earthquakes |
| url | https://hdl.handle.net/10356/95489 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/9252 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT siehkerry forecastingsoutherncaliforniaearthquakes AT raleighcb forecastingsoutherncaliforniaearthquakes AT sykeslr forecastingsoutherncaliforniaearthquakes AT andersondl forecastingsoutherncaliforniaearthquakes |