ANALISIS SKENARIO PERMINTAAN DAN PENYEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK PADA SISTEM INTERKONEKSI JAWA-MADURA-BALI
The demand of electricity is continuing to increase inline with the growth of population and economic activity. In Indonesia, the demand of electricity in 2008 is 179.48 MTOE. To supply this demand of electricity, the amount of generated electricity 149.44 TWh in the same year. The most part of this...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Thesis |
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[Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada
2012
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| author | , rahmat adiprasetya al hasibi , Dr. Ir. Sasongko Pramono Hadi, DEA |
| author_facet | , rahmat adiprasetya al hasibi , Dr. Ir. Sasongko Pramono Hadi, DEA |
| author_sort | , rahmat adiprasetya al hasibi |
| collection | UGM |
| description | The demand of electricity is continuing to increase inline with the growth of
population and economic activity. In Indonesia, the demand of electricity in 2008
is 179.48 MTOE. To supply this demand of electricity, the amount of generated
electricity 149.44 TWh in the same year. The most part of this electricity demand
is used to supply the demand in JAMALI system that is 78.11% of the total
demand of electricity in Indonesia. The primary energy used in JAMALI system is
dominated by coal, oil fuel, and natural gas with the percentage of 40.90%,
29.13%, and 20.14% respectively. In the other side, Indonesia has a lot of
potential of renewable energy that is very possible to be optimized to supply the
need of electricity. Some of renewable energy in JAMALI system is geothermal
energy, hydro power, biomass, and solar energy.
In this study, the analysis of scenario of demand and supply of electricity was
conducted with the support of LEAP software. In the developed LEAP model,
scenario was constructed from demand and supply side of JAMALI system. The
reference scenario was used to describe demand and supply of electricity without
any intervention of new energy policy. It can be said that the reference scenario
describe the energy situation in the base year. In the demand side of the model,
scenario consists of the reference and energy conservation scenario. The scenario
of energy conservation is used to simulate the policy of energy conservation in
electricity. The impact of the policy then was analyzed. In the supply side of the
model, scenario consists of the reference, optimized, and the reduction of CO2
emission scenario. In the reference scenario, the calculation of power plant
capacity is done endogenously. Optimized scenario calculates the capacity of the
power plant based on the least-cost combination. The reduction of CO2 emission
scenario consists of nuclear power plant, new and renewable energy, and
externality cost scenario.
Based on optimized scenario, the role of coal fired power plant in electricity
generation is very dominant, that is 76.90% from the total of generated electricity
in 2050. By the reference scenario, the role of coal fired power plant is only
51.73% in the same year. Generated electricity of NGCC power plant by
optimized scenario is lower compare to the reference scenario. The role of
nuclear power plant in the reduction of CO2 emission is very significant. By the
implementation of nuclear power plant, CO2 emission can be reduced with the
growth 3.62% per year. The similar rate of CO2 emission growth can be achieved
by the implementation of new and renewable energy in electricity generation. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-13T22:43:11Z |
| format | Thesis |
| id | oai:generic.eprints.org:100596 |
| institution | Universiti Gadjah Mada |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-13T22:43:11Z |
| publishDate | 2012 |
| publisher | [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oai:generic.eprints.org:1005962016-03-04T08:49:45Z https://repository.ugm.ac.id/100596/ ANALISIS SKENARIO PERMINTAAN DAN PENYEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK PADA SISTEM INTERKONEKSI JAWA-MADURA-BALI , rahmat adiprasetya al hasibi , Dr. Ir. Sasongko Pramono Hadi, DEA ETD The demand of electricity is continuing to increase inline with the growth of population and economic activity. In Indonesia, the demand of electricity in 2008 is 179.48 MTOE. To supply this demand of electricity, the amount of generated electricity 149.44 TWh in the same year. The most part of this electricity demand is used to supply the demand in JAMALI system that is 78.11% of the total demand of electricity in Indonesia. The primary energy used in JAMALI system is dominated by coal, oil fuel, and natural gas with the percentage of 40.90%, 29.13%, and 20.14% respectively. In the other side, Indonesia has a lot of potential of renewable energy that is very possible to be optimized to supply the need of electricity. Some of renewable energy in JAMALI system is geothermal energy, hydro power, biomass, and solar energy. In this study, the analysis of scenario of demand and supply of electricity was conducted with the support of LEAP software. In the developed LEAP model, scenario was constructed from demand and supply side of JAMALI system. The reference scenario was used to describe demand and supply of electricity without any intervention of new energy policy. It can be said that the reference scenario describe the energy situation in the base year. In the demand side of the model, scenario consists of the reference and energy conservation scenario. The scenario of energy conservation is used to simulate the policy of energy conservation in electricity. The impact of the policy then was analyzed. In the supply side of the model, scenario consists of the reference, optimized, and the reduction of CO2 emission scenario. In the reference scenario, the calculation of power plant capacity is done endogenously. Optimized scenario calculates the capacity of the power plant based on the least-cost combination. The reduction of CO2 emission scenario consists of nuclear power plant, new and renewable energy, and externality cost scenario. Based on optimized scenario, the role of coal fired power plant in electricity generation is very dominant, that is 76.90% from the total of generated electricity in 2050. By the reference scenario, the role of coal fired power plant is only 51.73% in the same year. Generated electricity of NGCC power plant by optimized scenario is lower compare to the reference scenario. The role of nuclear power plant in the reduction of CO2 emission is very significant. By the implementation of nuclear power plant, CO2 emission can be reduced with the growth 3.62% per year. The similar rate of CO2 emission growth can be achieved by the implementation of new and renewable energy in electricity generation. [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2012 Thesis NonPeerReviewed , rahmat adiprasetya al hasibi and , Dr. Ir. Sasongko Pramono Hadi, DEA (2012) ANALISIS SKENARIO PERMINTAAN DAN PENYEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK PADA SISTEM INTERKONEKSI JAWA-MADURA-BALI. UNSPECIFIED thesis, UNSPECIFIED. http://etd.ugm.ac.id/index.php?mod=penelitian_detail&sub=PenelitianDetail&act=view&typ=html&buku_id=57153 |
| spellingShingle | ETD , rahmat adiprasetya al hasibi , Dr. Ir. Sasongko Pramono Hadi, DEA ANALISIS SKENARIO PERMINTAAN DAN PENYEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK PADA SISTEM INTERKONEKSI JAWA-MADURA-BALI |
| title | ANALISIS SKENARIO PERMINTAAN DAN PENYEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK PADA SISTEM INTERKONEKSI JAWA-MADURA-BALI |
| title_full | ANALISIS SKENARIO PERMINTAAN DAN PENYEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK PADA SISTEM INTERKONEKSI JAWA-MADURA-BALI |
| title_fullStr | ANALISIS SKENARIO PERMINTAAN DAN PENYEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK PADA SISTEM INTERKONEKSI JAWA-MADURA-BALI |
| title_full_unstemmed | ANALISIS SKENARIO PERMINTAAN DAN PENYEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK PADA SISTEM INTERKONEKSI JAWA-MADURA-BALI |
| title_short | ANALISIS SKENARIO PERMINTAAN DAN PENYEDIAAN ENERGI LISTRIK PADA SISTEM INTERKONEKSI JAWA-MADURA-BALI |
| title_sort | analisis skenario permintaan dan penyediaan energi listrik pada sistem interkoneksi jawa madura bali |
| topic | ETD |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT rahmatadiprasetyaalhasibi analisisskenariopermintaandanpenyediaanenergilistrikpadasisteminterkoneksijawamadurabali AT drirsasongkopramonohadidea analisisskenariopermintaandanpenyediaanenergilistrikpadasisteminterkoneksijawamadurabali |