ANALISIS KOINTEGRASI HARGA DAN USAHA TERNAK AYAM BROILER DI PROVINSI JAWA TIMUR

This study aims to (1) Find out if the price of broiler meat in East Java experienced volatile? (2) Find out if the market price of broiler meat in the province of East Java integration occurs. (3) Knowing the market is dominating the market price of broiler meat among the areas in East Java, and ho...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: , HARIADI SUBAGJA, , Dr. Ir. Slamet Hartono, M.Sc.
Format: Thesis
Published: [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2013
Subjects:
ETD
Description
Summary:This study aims to (1) Find out if the price of broiler meat in East Java experienced volatile? (2) Find out if the market price of broiler meat in the province of East Java integration occurs. (3) Knowing the market is dominating the market price of broiler meat among the areas in East Java, and how the market equilibrium in the long term or short term. (4) Knowing the factors that influence the production of broiler chickens (5) Knowing the factors that affect feed conversion ratio of broiler chickens. (6) Knowing the relationship between the integration of the market price of broiler chicken meat to the business of broiler chickens in the province of East Java. The experiment was conducted in East Java province, covering data collection of primary data and secondary data. Primary research data is the respondents 187 people broiler chicken farmers around the district and surrounding districts Jombang Jember and secondary data research is the monthly average price of broiler chicken in the period 2000-2009. Analysis metode used analysis grafis dan discriptif, autoregressive conditional heteroskedaticity model (ARCH-LM). Johansen cointegration analysis , Grangger causality, Error Correction Model and Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The results showed that: (1) Data price movement / fluctuation in the price of broiler chicken meat from the years 2000-2009 in East Java showed that no volatile movement. (2) Market price of broiler chicken meat Jombang inter-city, Surabaya, Malang and Jember in East Java province related to each other or to provide an integrated inter-regional price data producers and consumers. (3) Market Broiler chicken meat in the province of East Java is the price of broiler chickens in the region of Malang and Surabaya consumer better determine the price of chicken meat (dominant) to the area producer prices in Jombang and Jember. (4) Price of broiler chicken meat has the interaction between areas in East Java in both the long and short term. (5) Factors affecting production in the poultry business in a positive way is the DOC, the feed, the scale of business, labor, partnership and business location and that affect the poultry business in a negative way is the use of drugs and vaccines as well as the noise enclosure. (6) Factors that negatively affect FCR (reduce the number of FCR) is the DOC, the feed, the scale of business, labor, partnership and business location and that affect the poultry business in a positive (increase the number FCR) is a long maintenance , mortality, mixed feed and the noise enclosure. (7) Local livestock producers of broiler chickens Jombang area (in the western region of East Java) more decisive than the market price of broiler chicken producers Jember area (in the eastern region of East Java).