| Summary: | The purposes of this research are to determine what factors affecting the volume
of import demand, the trends of import volume and the price projection of garlic
in Indonesia. Descriptive method was applied in the analysis by using secondary
data. Time series data from 1991 until 2010 were used in the analysis such as the
price of garlic in Indonesia, price of garlic in China, price of shallot in Indonesia,
productivity of garlic in Indonesia, the exchange rate, and national income. The
price of garlic in Indonesia will be projected with monthly prices data of garlic in
Indonesia from 2005 - 2011.
The trend import volume of garlic showed that there will be additional of import
volume around of 21.9124 ton per year. Determinant factors which significantly
affecting import volume of garlic are the price of garlic in Indonesia, national
income, exchange rate and the productivity of garlic in Indonesia. The result of
projection on import price of garlic during 6 years showed that there will be
cycles of two years of high price and three years of low price and followed by an
increase in prices.
|
|---|