STOCK SELECTION BASED ON FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS AND INTRINSIC VALUE

This research aims to select the best stock. The selection method is based on Peter Lynch criteria. There are at least four criteria in Peter Lynch method which should be fulfilled. Those criteria are as P/E/G ratio less than 1, EPS growth more than 20%, ROA more than 1%, and DER less than 50%. Afte...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: , Jumran, , Prof. Dr. Zaki Baridwan, M.Sc.
Format: Thesis
Published: [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2013
Subjects:
ETD
Description
Summary:This research aims to select the best stock. The selection method is based on Peter Lynch criteria. There are at least four criteria in Peter Lynch method which should be fulfilled. Those criteria are as P/E/G ratio less than 1, EPS growth more than 20%, ROA more than 1%, and DER less than 50%. After acquiring stocks that fulfill the criteria above, next the stocks with low P/E and P/B are selected as the appropriate stocks. The selected appropriate stocks will be evaluated using FCFE to determine their intrinsic value. The methodology of this research is literature study. The data used in this research are secondary data. The secondary data were collected from Indonesia Capital Market (IDX) and company website of the selected stock. All companies listing in IDX since 2008 are the object of research. The result of this research concludes that there are 13 stocks that meet Peter Lynch criteria namely INTP, PNIN, PNBN, PNLF, BMRI, KAEF, BBRI, BBNI, DUTI, CPIN, DLTA, TSPC, and BBTN. From those 13 companies, the four lowest P/E and P/B companies are namely PNIN, PNLF, PNBN, and DUTI. The researcher chooses to analyze DUTI. By using growth assumption at 6% and cost of equity 13.26%, the intrinsic value DUTI is Rp 3,487. This Intrinsic value is higher than the current market price of DUTI on December 31, 2012 as Rp 2,850. The researcher recommends buying DUTI stock with 22.3% gain expectations.