DAMPAK GUNCANGAN HARGA MINYAK PADA PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA, PERIODE 2000:1 � 2012:12

Indonesian�s dependency to world crude oil is one of the background for Indonesian economists to highlight that world crude oil price will always fluctuating. This phenomenon happened due to geopolitical situation among oil exporting countries members. Based on previous resear...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: , NOVI FIRSTIADITA, , Dr. Muhammad Edhie Purnawan, M.A.
Format: Thesis
Published: [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2014
Subjects:
ETD
Description
Summary:Indonesian�s dependency to world crude oil is one of the background for Indonesian economists to highlight that world crude oil price will always fluctuating. This phenomenon happened due to geopolitical situation among oil exporting countries members. Based on previous research, the oil price shock is a bad news to oil importing countries such as Indonesia. Increasing oil price will bear bad effect as written on macroeconomic theory. The aim of this study to analyze the impact of oil price shock on gross domestic product, exchange rate, oil import, consumer price index, money supply. VAR has been employed in this research. The research explained no cointegration correlationamong variables. Oil price shocks had positive effect on gross domestic product, and money supply. Otherwise, there is negative effect available on exchange rate, money supply and consumer price index. The mostly affected variablesin their variation by oil price shocks are these 3, namely: money supply, oil import and consumer price index. The result of this research show Indonesian economyless vulnerable to oil price shocks along 12 years periode, due to non oil energy sector revenue.