Price Fluctuations In Bank Shares: A Backward and Forward Looking Approach

The purpose of this study is to analyze price fluctuations in bank stocks listed on the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX). This study uses two dynamic models: ECM (Error Correction Model) and FLM (Forward Looking Model) to analyze data in the short and long-runs and to compare the decision making of mark...

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Main Author: Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib
Format: Article
Published: [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 1999
Subjects:
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author Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib
author_facet Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib
author_sort Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib
collection UGM
description The purpose of this study is to analyze price fluctuations in bank stocks listed on the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX). This study uses two dynamic models: ECM (Error Correction Model) and FLM (Forward Looking Model) to analyze data in the short and long-runs and to compare the decision making of market players based on backward and forward looking information. The model also takes into account important political and economic events, such as the change in presidency from Soeharto to Habibie and the decision of the hrclonesian Bank Restructuring Agency (IBRA) to supervise and freeze bank operations. The findings of this study indicate that the change in national leadership and the IBRA decision significantly influenced the price of bank stocks listed on the JSX. The exchange rate of the rupiah against the US dollar is also a contributing factor. Comparison between ECM and FLM shows that FLM better describes the movements in stock price for almost all banks. Market players give more consideration to forward information than backward information when making current decisions.
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spelling oai:generic.eprints.org:179672014-06-18T00:36:03Z https://repository.ugm.ac.id/17967/ Price Fluctuations In Bank Shares: A Backward and Forward Looking Approach Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib Jurnal i-lib UGM The purpose of this study is to analyze price fluctuations in bank stocks listed on the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX). This study uses two dynamic models: ECM (Error Correction Model) and FLM (Forward Looking Model) to analyze data in the short and long-runs and to compare the decision making of market players based on backward and forward looking information. The model also takes into account important political and economic events, such as the change in presidency from Soeharto to Habibie and the decision of the hrclonesian Bank Restructuring Agency (IBRA) to supervise and freeze bank operations. The findings of this study indicate that the change in national leadership and the IBRA decision significantly influenced the price of bank stocks listed on the JSX. The exchange rate of the rupiah against the US dollar is also a contributing factor. Comparison between ECM and FLM shows that FLM better describes the movements in stock price for almost all banks. Market players give more consideration to forward information than backward information when making current decisions. [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 1999 Article NonPeerReviewed Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib (1999) Price Fluctuations In Bank Shares: A Backward and Forward Looking Approach. Jurnal i-lib UGM. http://i-lib.ugm.ac.id/jurnal/download.php?dataId=742
spellingShingle Jurnal i-lib UGM
Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib
Price Fluctuations In Bank Shares: A Backward and Forward Looking Approach
title Price Fluctuations In Bank Shares: A Backward and Forward Looking Approach
title_full Price Fluctuations In Bank Shares: A Backward and Forward Looking Approach
title_fullStr Price Fluctuations In Bank Shares: A Backward and Forward Looking Approach
title_full_unstemmed Price Fluctuations In Bank Shares: A Backward and Forward Looking Approach
title_short Price Fluctuations In Bank Shares: A Backward and Forward Looking Approach
title_sort price fluctuations in bank shares a backward and forward looking approach
topic Jurnal i-lib UGM
work_keys_str_mv AT perpustakaanugmilib pricefluctuationsinbanksharesabackwardandforwardlookingapproach