Sindrum R2 Dalam Analisis Regresi Linier Runtun Waktu.

ABSTRACTS This paper attempts to discuss the coefficient of determination (R2) in time series econometric analysis. The coefficient is the most commonly used measure of the goodness of fit of a regression line. With time series data high R2 values can be obtained if the linear regressions are estima...

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Main Author: Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib
Format: Article
Published: [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 1998
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author Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib
author_facet Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib
author_sort Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib
collection UGM
description ABSTRACTS This paper attempts to discuss the coefficient of determination (R2) in time series econometric analysis. The coefficient is the most commonly used measure of the goodness of fit of a regression line. With time series data high R2 values can be obtained if the linear regressions are estimated with the level. Therefore, there is a strong tendency to estimate the time series model in levels rather than, for example, in first difkrences. In general, researchers associate a high R2 with a good fit and it can be considered as indicative of a strong ability of the independent variables to "explain" the dependent variable. In this case, investigators may face the "R2 syndrome " and the "spurious regression" problems. However, the le statistic is only valid if the proposed model must be linear and include a constant or intercept term and be estimated using ordinary least squares' (OLS). Furthermore, it must be noted that the R2 may not be directly comparable if the dependent variables of the models under consideration are not the same. Key words: Coefficient of determination, goodness of fit, le syndrome, stasionarity and spurious regression.
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spelling oai:generic.eprints.org:207382014-06-18T00:37:31Z https://repository.ugm.ac.id/20738/ Sindrum R2 Dalam Analisis Regresi Linier Runtun Waktu. Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib Jurnal i-lib UGM ABSTRACTS This paper attempts to discuss the coefficient of determination (R2) in time series econometric analysis. The coefficient is the most commonly used measure of the goodness of fit of a regression line. With time series data high R2 values can be obtained if the linear regressions are estimated with the level. Therefore, there is a strong tendency to estimate the time series model in levels rather than, for example, in first difkrences. In general, researchers associate a high R2 with a good fit and it can be considered as indicative of a strong ability of the independent variables to "explain" the dependent variable. In this case, investigators may face the "R2 syndrome " and the "spurious regression" problems. However, the le statistic is only valid if the proposed model must be linear and include a constant or intercept term and be estimated using ordinary least squares' (OLS). Furthermore, it must be noted that the R2 may not be directly comparable if the dependent variables of the models under consideration are not the same. Key words: Coefficient of determination, goodness of fit, le syndrome, stasionarity and spurious regression. [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 1998 Article NonPeerReviewed Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib (1998) Sindrum R2 Dalam Analisis Regresi Linier Runtun Waktu. Jurnal i-lib UGM. http://i-lib.ugm.ac.id/jurnal/download.php?dataId=3594
spellingShingle Jurnal i-lib UGM
Perpustakaan UGM, i-lib
Sindrum R2 Dalam Analisis Regresi Linier Runtun Waktu.
title Sindrum R2 Dalam Analisis Regresi Linier Runtun Waktu.
title_full Sindrum R2 Dalam Analisis Regresi Linier Runtun Waktu.
title_fullStr Sindrum R2 Dalam Analisis Regresi Linier Runtun Waktu.
title_full_unstemmed Sindrum R2 Dalam Analisis Regresi Linier Runtun Waktu.
title_short Sindrum R2 Dalam Analisis Regresi Linier Runtun Waktu.
title_sort sindrum r2 dalam analisis regresi linier runtun waktu
topic Jurnal i-lib UGM
work_keys_str_mv AT perpustakaanugmilib sindrumr2dalamanalisisregresilinierruntunwaktu