Indonesia’s Natural Rubber Productivity and Technically Specified Natural Rubber 20 Export: The Effect of El Nino Southern Oscillation
El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) causes rainfall anomalies, which may disrupt Indonesia’s natural rubber production by interfering with the trees’ growth and affecting the export volume. This study analyzed the effect of ENSO dynamics on the monthly productivity of natural rubber and Technically...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Department of Agribusiness, Faculty of Agriculture, Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta
2022
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| Online Access: | https://repository.ugm.ac.id/283935/1/Cahyaningtyas_PN.pdf |
| _version_ | 1826050715071545344 |
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| author | Cahyaningtyas, Inaya Utami, Arini Wahyu Waluyati, Lestari Rahayu |
| author_facet | Cahyaningtyas, Inaya Utami, Arini Wahyu Waluyati, Lestari Rahayu |
| author_sort | Cahyaningtyas, Inaya |
| collection | UGM |
| description | El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) causes rainfall anomalies, which may disrupt Indonesia’s natural rubber production by interfering with the trees’ growth and affecting the export volume. This study analyzed the effect of ENSO dynamics on the monthly productivity of natural rubber and Technically Specified Natural Rubber (TSNR) 20 export. Monthly data from January 2006 to December 2019 were collected from the Statistics Indonesia, International Trade
Centre (ITC), World Bank, Bank Indonesia, and National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Descriptive statistics unveiled that strong La Nina increased the average of monthly productivity by 3.37% to 9.68%, while
strong El Nino tended to decrease productivity by 1.30% to 9.27%. Moreover, the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) demonstrated the negative effect of ENSO on Indonesia’s natural rubber export, both in the short and long term. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-14T00:08:58Z |
| format | Article |
| id | oai:generic.eprints.org:283935 |
| institution | Universiti Gadjah Mada |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-14T00:08:58Z |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publisher | Department of Agribusiness, Faculty of Agriculture, Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oai:generic.eprints.org:2839352023-11-24T07:44:29Z https://repository.ugm.ac.id/283935/ Indonesia’s Natural Rubber Productivity and Technically Specified Natural Rubber 20 Export: The Effect of El Nino Southern Oscillation Cahyaningtyas, Inaya Utami, Arini Wahyu Waluyati, Lestari Rahayu Agribusiness El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) causes rainfall anomalies, which may disrupt Indonesia’s natural rubber production by interfering with the trees’ growth and affecting the export volume. This study analyzed the effect of ENSO dynamics on the monthly productivity of natural rubber and Technically Specified Natural Rubber (TSNR) 20 export. Monthly data from January 2006 to December 2019 were collected from the Statistics Indonesia, International Trade Centre (ITC), World Bank, Bank Indonesia, and National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Descriptive statistics unveiled that strong La Nina increased the average of monthly productivity by 3.37% to 9.68%, while strong El Nino tended to decrease productivity by 1.30% to 9.27%. Moreover, the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) demonstrated the negative effect of ENSO on Indonesia’s natural rubber export, both in the short and long term. Department of Agribusiness, Faculty of Agriculture, Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta 2022 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en https://repository.ugm.ac.id/283935/1/Cahyaningtyas_PN.pdf Cahyaningtyas, Inaya and Utami, Arini Wahyu and Waluyati, Lestari Rahayu (2022) Indonesia’s Natural Rubber Productivity and Technically Specified Natural Rubber 20 Export: The Effect of El Nino Southern Oscillation. AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research, 8 (2). pp. 215-230. ISSN 2527-9238 https://journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/ag/article/view/14320 https://doi.org/10.18196/agraris.v8i2.14320 |
| spellingShingle | Agribusiness Cahyaningtyas, Inaya Utami, Arini Wahyu Waluyati, Lestari Rahayu Indonesia’s Natural Rubber Productivity and Technically Specified Natural Rubber 20 Export: The Effect of El Nino Southern Oscillation |
| title | Indonesia’s Natural Rubber Productivity and Technically
Specified Natural Rubber 20 Export: The Effect of El Nino
Southern Oscillation |
| title_full | Indonesia’s Natural Rubber Productivity and Technically
Specified Natural Rubber 20 Export: The Effect of El Nino
Southern Oscillation |
| title_fullStr | Indonesia’s Natural Rubber Productivity and Technically
Specified Natural Rubber 20 Export: The Effect of El Nino
Southern Oscillation |
| title_full_unstemmed | Indonesia’s Natural Rubber Productivity and Technically
Specified Natural Rubber 20 Export: The Effect of El Nino
Southern Oscillation |
| title_short | Indonesia’s Natural Rubber Productivity and Technically
Specified Natural Rubber 20 Export: The Effect of El Nino
Southern Oscillation |
| title_sort | indonesia s natural rubber productivity and technically specified natural rubber 20 export the effect of el nino southern oscillation |
| topic | Agribusiness |
| url | https://repository.ugm.ac.id/283935/1/Cahyaningtyas_PN.pdf |
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