What drives Islamic banks’ credit risk in the long run? a macroeconomic approach

Credit risk is the most anticipated risk in the banking system. It is one of the key elements to measure systemic risk and stress testing financial fragility which is very helpful to formulate macro-prudential surveillance in financial systems. Unlike the conventional banking, the empirical evidence...

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Main Authors: Abduh, Muhamad, Nursechafia, Nursechafia
Format: Proceeding Paper
Language:English
Published: 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://irep.iium.edu.my/30388/1/MFA_1_merged.pdf
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author Abduh, Muhamad
Nursechafia, Nursechafia
author_facet Abduh, Muhamad
Nursechafia, Nursechafia
author_sort Abduh, Muhamad
collection IIUM
description Credit risk is the most anticipated risk in the banking system. It is one of the key elements to measure systemic risk and stress testing financial fragility which is very helpful to formulate macro-prudential surveillance in financial systems. Unlike the conventional banking, the empirical evidence of macro-credit risk link in Islamic banking is still considered as an underdeveloped area. Consequently, a further research regarding the stability of the Islamic banking industry has risen to the substantial agenda. Hence, this paper is aimed at determining and assessing the long run vulnerabilities of Islamic financing quality as a response to changes in key macroeconomic variables by using time series econometric approaches of cointegration and vector autoregression (VAR). By simulating variance decomposition (VD) and impulse response function (IRF), it is found that there is evidence of long-run relationship between credit risk ratio in Islamic bank and the selected macroeconomic variables. The exchange rate, supply side-inflation, and growth have negatively driven credit risk rate in Islamic banking, while money supply and Islamic interbank money market rate have positively driven the risk rate.
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spelling oai:generic.eprints.org:303882013-07-24T07:05:36Z http://irep.iium.edu.my/30388/ What drives Islamic banks’ credit risk in the long run? a macroeconomic approach Abduh, Muhamad Nursechafia, Nursechafia BP173.75 Islam and economics HG3691 Credit Credit risk is the most anticipated risk in the banking system. It is one of the key elements to measure systemic risk and stress testing financial fragility which is very helpful to formulate macro-prudential surveillance in financial systems. Unlike the conventional banking, the empirical evidence of macro-credit risk link in Islamic banking is still considered as an underdeveloped area. Consequently, a further research regarding the stability of the Islamic banking industry has risen to the substantial agenda. Hence, this paper is aimed at determining and assessing the long run vulnerabilities of Islamic financing quality as a response to changes in key macroeconomic variables by using time series econometric approaches of cointegration and vector autoregression (VAR). By simulating variance decomposition (VD) and impulse response function (IRF), it is found that there is evidence of long-run relationship between credit risk ratio in Islamic bank and the selected macroeconomic variables. The exchange rate, supply side-inflation, and growth have negatively driven credit risk rate in Islamic banking, while money supply and Islamic interbank money market rate have positively driven the risk rate. 2013-06-02 Proceeding Paper PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/30388/1/MFA_1_merged.pdf Abduh, Muhamad and Nursechafia, Nursechafia (2013) What drives Islamic banks’ credit risk in the long run? a macroeconomic approach. In: 15th Malaysian Finance Association (MFA) Conference 2013, 2-4 June 2013, Sime Darby Convention Centre, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
spellingShingle BP173.75 Islam and economics
HG3691 Credit
Abduh, Muhamad
Nursechafia, Nursechafia
What drives Islamic banks’ credit risk in the long run? a macroeconomic approach
title What drives Islamic banks’ credit risk in the long run? a macroeconomic approach
title_full What drives Islamic banks’ credit risk in the long run? a macroeconomic approach
title_fullStr What drives Islamic banks’ credit risk in the long run? a macroeconomic approach
title_full_unstemmed What drives Islamic banks’ credit risk in the long run? a macroeconomic approach
title_short What drives Islamic banks’ credit risk in the long run? a macroeconomic approach
title_sort what drives islamic banks credit risk in the long run a macroeconomic approach
topic BP173.75 Islam and economics
HG3691 Credit
url http://irep.iium.edu.my/30388/1/MFA_1_merged.pdf
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