An empirical analysis of Malaysian ringgit equilibrium exchange rate and misalignment

Following the reinstatement to managed floating exchange rate regime in July 2005, the real effective exchange rate (REER) of Malaysian ringgit (RM) has been fluctuating, albeit, slightly, which raises the question whether the current trend is consistent with the economic fundamentals. This paper...

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Main Authors: Mohd Sidek, Noor Zahirah, Yusoff, Mohammed
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: World Business Institute, Australia 2009
Subjects:
Online Access:http://irep.iium.edu.my/549/1/An_empirical_analysis_of_Malaysian_ringgit_equilibrium_exchange_rate_and_misalignment.pdf
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author Mohd Sidek, Noor Zahirah
Yusoff, Mohammed
author_facet Mohd Sidek, Noor Zahirah
Yusoff, Mohammed
author_sort Mohd Sidek, Noor Zahirah
collection IIUM
description Following the reinstatement to managed floating exchange rate regime in July 2005, the real effective exchange rate (REER) of Malaysian ringgit (RM) has been fluctuating, albeit, slightly, which raises the question whether the current trend is consistent with the economic fundamentals. This paper attempts to ascertain the degree of misalignment of the ringgit by estimating the long run equilibrium real effective exchange rate of the currency. Based on Johansen vector cointegration technique, we have identified productivity, government consumption expenditure, and trade openness as important determinants of the ringgit long run equilibrium value. Results suggest that the ringgit was persistently overvalued prior to the 1997 crisis. After the crisis, the ringgit fluctuates around its long run equilibrium and the misalignments are eliminated over a relatively short period.
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spelling oai:generic.eprints.org:5492012-01-16T07:43:31Z http://irep.iium.edu.my/549/ An empirical analysis of Malaysian ringgit equilibrium exchange rate and misalignment Mohd Sidek, Noor Zahirah Yusoff, Mohammed HG201 Money HG3810 Foreign exchange Following the reinstatement to managed floating exchange rate regime in July 2005, the real effective exchange rate (REER) of Malaysian ringgit (RM) has been fluctuating, albeit, slightly, which raises the question whether the current trend is consistent with the economic fundamentals. This paper attempts to ascertain the degree of misalignment of the ringgit by estimating the long run equilibrium real effective exchange rate of the currency. Based on Johansen vector cointegration technique, we have identified productivity, government consumption expenditure, and trade openness as important determinants of the ringgit long run equilibrium value. Results suggest that the ringgit was persistently overvalued prior to the 1997 crisis. After the crisis, the ringgit fluctuates around its long run equilibrium and the misalignments are eliminated over a relatively short period. World Business Institute, Australia 2009-09 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://irep.iium.edu.my/549/1/An_empirical_analysis_of_Malaysian_ringgit_equilibrium_exchange_rate_and_misalignment.pdf Mohd Sidek, Noor Zahirah and Yusoff, Mohammed (2009) An empirical analysis of Malaysian ringgit equilibrium exchange rate and misalignment. Global Economy and Finance Journal, 2 (2). pp. 104-126. http://wbiaus.org/GEFJ.html
spellingShingle HG201 Money
HG3810 Foreign exchange
Mohd Sidek, Noor Zahirah
Yusoff, Mohammed
An empirical analysis of Malaysian ringgit equilibrium exchange rate and misalignment
title An empirical analysis of Malaysian ringgit equilibrium exchange rate and misalignment
title_full An empirical analysis of Malaysian ringgit equilibrium exchange rate and misalignment
title_fullStr An empirical analysis of Malaysian ringgit equilibrium exchange rate and misalignment
title_full_unstemmed An empirical analysis of Malaysian ringgit equilibrium exchange rate and misalignment
title_short An empirical analysis of Malaysian ringgit equilibrium exchange rate and misalignment
title_sort empirical analysis of malaysian ringgit equilibrium exchange rate and misalignment
topic HG201 Money
HG3810 Foreign exchange
url http://irep.iium.edu.my/549/1/An_empirical_analysis_of_Malaysian_ringgit_equilibrium_exchange_rate_and_misalignment.pdf
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