PENGARUH UTANG LUAR NEGERI PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KESINAMBUNGAN FISKAL INDONESIA PERIODE 1979-2009

This study aims to analyze the influence of government foreign debt on economic growth and fiscal sustainability of Indonesia in 1979-2009. The research model used is cointegrating regression model with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method and simultaneous equations model using Two Stage Least Square...

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Main Authors: , Yohanes Maria Vianey Mudayen, S.P.d., , Dr. Tri Widodo, M.Ec. Dev
Format: Thesis
Published: [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2011
Subjects:
ETD
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author , Yohanes Maria Vianey Mudayen, S.P.d.
, Dr. Tri Widodo, M.Ec. Dev
author_facet , Yohanes Maria Vianey Mudayen, S.P.d.
, Dr. Tri Widodo, M.Ec. Dev
author_sort , Yohanes Maria Vianey Mudayen, S.P.d.
collection UGM
description This study aims to analyze the influence of government foreign debt on economic growth and fiscal sustainability of Indonesia in 1979-2009. The research model used is cointegrating regression model with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method and simultaneous equations model using Two Stage Least Square (TSLS). The results of cointegrating regression model and the first simultaneous equation model showed that the lag of government foreign debt has positive and significant impact on economic growth in Indonesia. Investment also has positive and significant impact on economic growth in Indonesia. However, savings interest rate of Central Bank and net exports have negative and significant effect on economic growth. The money supply is not significant effect on economic growth of Indonesia. Fiscal sustainability is derived from the equation reduced form and the primary balance has positive and significant impact on economic growth. The lag of government foreign debt has negative and significant effect on fiscal sustainability of Indonesia. Savings interest rate of Central Bank also have negative and significant impact on Indonesia's fiscal sustainability. However, economic growth comes from the reduced form equation has positive and significant impact on Indonesia's fiscal sustainability.
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spelling oai:generic.eprints.org:887902014-08-20T02:54:27Z https://repository.ugm.ac.id/88790/ PENGARUH UTANG LUAR NEGERI PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KESINAMBUNGAN FISKAL INDONESIA PERIODE 1979-2009 , Yohanes Maria Vianey Mudayen, S.P.d. , Dr. Tri Widodo, M.Ec. Dev ETD This study aims to analyze the influence of government foreign debt on economic growth and fiscal sustainability of Indonesia in 1979-2009. The research model used is cointegrating regression model with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method and simultaneous equations model using Two Stage Least Square (TSLS). The results of cointegrating regression model and the first simultaneous equation model showed that the lag of government foreign debt has positive and significant impact on economic growth in Indonesia. Investment also has positive and significant impact on economic growth in Indonesia. However, savings interest rate of Central Bank and net exports have negative and significant effect on economic growth. The money supply is not significant effect on economic growth of Indonesia. Fiscal sustainability is derived from the equation reduced form and the primary balance has positive and significant impact on economic growth. The lag of government foreign debt has negative and significant effect on fiscal sustainability of Indonesia. Savings interest rate of Central Bank also have negative and significant impact on Indonesia's fiscal sustainability. However, economic growth comes from the reduced form equation has positive and significant impact on Indonesia's fiscal sustainability. [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2011 Thesis NonPeerReviewed , Yohanes Maria Vianey Mudayen, S.P.d. and , Dr. Tri Widodo, M.Ec. Dev (2011) PENGARUH UTANG LUAR NEGERI PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KESINAMBUNGAN FISKAL INDONESIA PERIODE 1979-2009. UNSPECIFIED thesis, UNSPECIFIED. http://etd.ugm.ac.id/index.php?mod=penelitian_detail&sub=PenelitianDetail&act=view&typ=html&buku_id=50756
spellingShingle ETD
, Yohanes Maria Vianey Mudayen, S.P.d.
, Dr. Tri Widodo, M.Ec. Dev
PENGARUH UTANG LUAR NEGERI PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KESINAMBUNGAN FISKAL INDONESIA PERIODE 1979-2009
title PENGARUH UTANG LUAR NEGERI PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KESINAMBUNGAN FISKAL INDONESIA PERIODE 1979-2009
title_full PENGARUH UTANG LUAR NEGERI PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KESINAMBUNGAN FISKAL INDONESIA PERIODE 1979-2009
title_fullStr PENGARUH UTANG LUAR NEGERI PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KESINAMBUNGAN FISKAL INDONESIA PERIODE 1979-2009
title_full_unstemmed PENGARUH UTANG LUAR NEGERI PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KESINAMBUNGAN FISKAL INDONESIA PERIODE 1979-2009
title_short PENGARUH UTANG LUAR NEGERI PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KESINAMBUNGAN FISKAL INDONESIA PERIODE 1979-2009
title_sort pengaruh utang luar negeri pemerintah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi dan kesinambungan fiskal indonesia periode 1979 2009
topic ETD
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AT drtriwidodomecdev pengaruhutangluarnegeripemerintahterhadappertumbuhanekonomidankesinambunganfiskalindonesiaperiode19792009