SUBSIDY POLICIES FOR THE PETROLEUM SECTOR IN INDONESIA: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH

This paper examines the effect of subsidy policies for the petroleum sectoron the overall economy in Indonesia by using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The latest Indonesia input output table of year 2008 with 66 different production sectors is used within a generalized framework. Ther...

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Main Authors: , Agus Budiyono, S.T., , Koji Kotani
Format: Thesis
Published: [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2011
Subjects:
ETD
_version_ 1797030720878673920
author , Agus Budiyono, S.T.
, Koji Kotani
author_facet , Agus Budiyono, S.T.
, Koji Kotani
author_sort , Agus Budiyono, S.T.
collection UGM
description This paper examines the effect of subsidy policies for the petroleum sectoron the overall economy in Indonesia by using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The latest Indonesia input output table of year 2008 with 66 different production sectors is used within a generalized framework. There are some striking results upon the implementation ofa CGE model in this study. An increase in a subsidy for the petroleum sector is the best policy instrument among all. A welfare gain is measured to be approximately Rp265,040,590.80 millions when the subsidy rate of petroleum sector is increased by 10% and the cost of policy changes in the budget constraint of the government is not considered explicitly. When a 10 % subsidy decrease is simulated, there is a welfare loss as much as Rp 205,215,835 millions. However, if the reduction of the petroleum subsidy rate is followed by the change in a production tax, than it becomesworst. The welfare loss by implementation of this policy to petroleum sector itself is measured to be approximately Rp 654,938,084.23 millions. The result of this study suggests a more explainable argument to encounter such debates on the petroleum subsidy policy. An increasing subsidy policy, in the short run has proven to be better implemented vis a vis the decreasing subsidy policy. Furthermore, the implementation of an increasing subsidy policy should be followed by another scheme which can accommodate the welfare gain on the whole economy based on an equity point of view.
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spelling oai:generic.eprints.org:903762014-08-20T02:50:10Z https://repository.ugm.ac.id/90376/ SUBSIDY POLICIES FOR THE PETROLEUM SECTOR IN INDONESIA: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH , Agus Budiyono, S.T. , Koji Kotani ETD This paper examines the effect of subsidy policies for the petroleum sectoron the overall economy in Indonesia by using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The latest Indonesia input output table of year 2008 with 66 different production sectors is used within a generalized framework. There are some striking results upon the implementation ofa CGE model in this study. An increase in a subsidy for the petroleum sector is the best policy instrument among all. A welfare gain is measured to be approximately Rp265,040,590.80 millions when the subsidy rate of petroleum sector is increased by 10% and the cost of policy changes in the budget constraint of the government is not considered explicitly. When a 10 % subsidy decrease is simulated, there is a welfare loss as much as Rp 205,215,835 millions. However, if the reduction of the petroleum subsidy rate is followed by the change in a production tax, than it becomesworst. The welfare loss by implementation of this policy to petroleum sector itself is measured to be approximately Rp 654,938,084.23 millions. The result of this study suggests a more explainable argument to encounter such debates on the petroleum subsidy policy. An increasing subsidy policy, in the short run has proven to be better implemented vis a vis the decreasing subsidy policy. Furthermore, the implementation of an increasing subsidy policy should be followed by another scheme which can accommodate the welfare gain on the whole economy based on an equity point of view. [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2011 Thesis NonPeerReviewed , Agus Budiyono, S.T. and , Koji Kotani (2011) SUBSIDY POLICIES FOR THE PETROLEUM SECTOR IN INDONESIA: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH. UNSPECIFIED thesis, UNSPECIFIED. http://etd.ugm.ac.id/index.php?mod=penelitian_detail&sub=PenelitianDetail&act=view&typ=html&buku_id=53316
spellingShingle ETD
, Agus Budiyono, S.T.
, Koji Kotani
SUBSIDY POLICIES FOR THE PETROLEUM SECTOR IN INDONESIA: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH
title SUBSIDY POLICIES FOR THE PETROLEUM SECTOR IN INDONESIA: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH
title_full SUBSIDY POLICIES FOR THE PETROLEUM SECTOR IN INDONESIA: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH
title_fullStr SUBSIDY POLICIES FOR THE PETROLEUM SECTOR IN INDONESIA: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH
title_full_unstemmed SUBSIDY POLICIES FOR THE PETROLEUM SECTOR IN INDONESIA: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH
title_short SUBSIDY POLICIES FOR THE PETROLEUM SECTOR IN INDONESIA: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH
title_sort subsidy policies for the petroleum sector in indonesia a computable general equilibrium approach
topic ETD
work_keys_str_mv AT agusbudiyonost subsidypoliciesforthepetroleumsectorinindonesiaacomputablegeneralequilibriumapproach
AT kojikotani subsidypoliciesforthepetroleumsectorinindonesiaacomputablegeneralequilibriumapproach