PENGARUH VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP PASAR SAHAM INDONESIA

This study explores the determinants of macroeconomic variables and stock prices for the case of Indonesia in a VECM framework. Upon testing a vector error correction model, we show that changes in Jakarta composite index do perform a cointegrating relationship with changes in industrial production...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: , Yusman Ardiansyah, S.Si., , Prof. Dr. Nopirin, M.A.
Format: Thesis
Published: [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2011
Subjects:
ETD
Description
Summary:This study explores the determinants of macroeconomic variables and stock prices for the case of Indonesia in a VECM framework. Upon testing a vector error correction model, we show that changes in Jakarta composite index do perform a cointegrating relationship with changes in industrial production index , real exchange rate , money supply, reserves and interest rate. This shows that the Indonesia stock market is sensitive to changes in the macroeconomic variables. Furthermore, based on the variance decomposition analysis, this paper highlights that industrial production index has the strongest influence to Indonesia stock market as compared to real exchange rate, money supply, interest rate and reserves.