PERMINTAAN, PENAWARAN, TRANSMISI VERTIKAL HARGA BERAS DAN KEBIJAKAN PERBERASAN DI INDONESIA
Rice becomes the main staple food and tends to be single in various regions in Indonesia. The availability of rice remains the government's attention because it involves the existence of the nation's dignity and sustainability. This study aimed to assess: (1) demand for rice, (2) supply o...
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Thesis |
| Published: |
[Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada
2012
|
| Subjects: |
| _version_ | 1797032167314817024 |
|---|---|
| author | , Retno Lantarsih, SP.,MP. , Prof. Dr. Ir. Dwidjono Hadi Darwanto., M.S., |
| author_facet | , Retno Lantarsih, SP.,MP. , Prof. Dr. Ir. Dwidjono Hadi Darwanto., M.S., |
| author_sort | , Retno Lantarsih, SP.,MP. |
| collection | UGM |
| description | Rice becomes the main staple food and tends to be single in various
regions in Indonesia. The availability of rice remains the government's attention
because it involves the existence of the nation's dignity and sustainability. This
study aimed to assess: (1) demand for rice, (2) supply of rice, (3) vertical
transmission of rice prices. In this study, analysis of rice demand and supply
used annual time series data in 1971-2008 for Indonesia, in 1983-2008 for the
rice-producing area in Java, in 1987-2008 for the rice-producing areas in
Indonesia, Sumatera, and Sulawesi. The fluctuations and vertical transmission of
rice price analysis used monthly time series data in 1998-2008. To achieve the
goals, this research conducted simultaneous equations regression analysis for
Indonesia, and regression analysis of panel data through simultaneous equations
for the rice-producing areas (in Indonesia, Sumatera, Java, and Sulawesi)
Indonesia), each with ECM approach.
All data in the rice supply and demand analysis, and in the vertical
transmission analysis of rice prices are stationary at first difference, and pass
cointegration test. Usage of ECM is able to produce regression models that avoid
the spurious regression and able to provide a distinction between long and shortterm
elasticity in rice demand and supply analysis. The results showed : (1) in
the short run, wheat flour becomes rice substitution in Indonesia. Instant noodle
becomes rice subtitusion in rice-producing areas (in Indonesia and Sumatera) in
the long and short term. Demand for rice in Indonesia is very responsive to the
population in the long and short term. It can be shown that population has a
positive effect on rice demand for rice-producing areas (in Indonesia, and
Sumatera) in the long and short term, and for the rice-producing area in Java in
the long term. Income per capita has a positive effect on rice demand for the riceproducing
area in Sulawesi in the long term and short term, and it has a negative
effect on rice demand for the rice-producing area in Sumatera in the long term.
(2) Rainfall has a positive effect on rice supply for the rice-producing area (in
Indonesia, and Sumatera) in the long run. Tecnology has a positive effect on rice
supply in Indonesia, in the rice-producing areas (in Indonesia, and Jawa) both in
short and long run. The government purchasing price policy has a positive effect
on rice supply for the rice-producing area in Java in the short run. (3) Vertical
transmission of the retail price of rice to the price of raw rice has been shown in
North Sumatera and South Sumatera Provices, while the vertical transmission of
the price of raw rice to the retail price of rice has been shown in Lampung,
West Java, Central Java, and East Java Provinces. It can also be shown that
vertical transmission of the price of imported rice to the retail price of rice in
North Sumatera Province is asymmetri. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-13T22:34:20Z |
| format | Thesis |
| id | oai:generic.eprints.org:97930 |
| institution | Universiti Gadjah Mada |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-13T22:34:20Z |
| publishDate | 2012 |
| publisher | [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oai:generic.eprints.org:979302016-03-04T08:48:32Z https://repository.ugm.ac.id/97930/ PERMINTAAN, PENAWARAN, TRANSMISI VERTIKAL HARGA BERAS DAN KEBIJAKAN PERBERASAN DI INDONESIA , Retno Lantarsih, SP.,MP. , Prof. Dr. Ir. Dwidjono Hadi Darwanto., M.S., ETD Rice becomes the main staple food and tends to be single in various regions in Indonesia. The availability of rice remains the government's attention because it involves the existence of the nation's dignity and sustainability. This study aimed to assess: (1) demand for rice, (2) supply of rice, (3) vertical transmission of rice prices. In this study, analysis of rice demand and supply used annual time series data in 1971-2008 for Indonesia, in 1983-2008 for the rice-producing area in Java, in 1987-2008 for the rice-producing areas in Indonesia, Sumatera, and Sulawesi. The fluctuations and vertical transmission of rice price analysis used monthly time series data in 1998-2008. To achieve the goals, this research conducted simultaneous equations regression analysis for Indonesia, and regression analysis of panel data through simultaneous equations for the rice-producing areas (in Indonesia, Sumatera, Java, and Sulawesi) Indonesia), each with ECM approach. All data in the rice supply and demand analysis, and in the vertical transmission analysis of rice prices are stationary at first difference, and pass cointegration test. Usage of ECM is able to produce regression models that avoid the spurious regression and able to provide a distinction between long and shortterm elasticity in rice demand and supply analysis. The results showed : (1) in the short run, wheat flour becomes rice substitution in Indonesia. Instant noodle becomes rice subtitusion in rice-producing areas (in Indonesia and Sumatera) in the long and short term. Demand for rice in Indonesia is very responsive to the population in the long and short term. It can be shown that population has a positive effect on rice demand for rice-producing areas (in Indonesia, and Sumatera) in the long and short term, and for the rice-producing area in Java in the long term. Income per capita has a positive effect on rice demand for the riceproducing area in Sulawesi in the long term and short term, and it has a negative effect on rice demand for the rice-producing area in Sumatera in the long term. (2) Rainfall has a positive effect on rice supply for the rice-producing area (in Indonesia, and Sumatera) in the long run. Tecnology has a positive effect on rice supply in Indonesia, in the rice-producing areas (in Indonesia, and Jawa) both in short and long run. The government purchasing price policy has a positive effect on rice supply for the rice-producing area in Java in the short run. (3) Vertical transmission of the retail price of rice to the price of raw rice has been shown in North Sumatera and South Sumatera Provices, while the vertical transmission of the price of raw rice to the retail price of rice has been shown in Lampung, West Java, Central Java, and East Java Provinces. It can also be shown that vertical transmission of the price of imported rice to the retail price of rice in North Sumatera Province is asymmetri. [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2012 Thesis NonPeerReviewed , Retno Lantarsih, SP.,MP. and , Prof. Dr. Ir. Dwidjono Hadi Darwanto., M.S., (2012) PERMINTAAN, PENAWARAN, TRANSMISI VERTIKAL HARGA BERAS DAN KEBIJAKAN PERBERASAN DI INDONESIA. UNSPECIFIED thesis, UNSPECIFIED. http://etd.ugm.ac.id/index.php?mod=penelitian_detail&sub=PenelitianDetail&act=view&typ=html&buku_id=54442 |
| spellingShingle | ETD , Retno Lantarsih, SP.,MP. , Prof. Dr. Ir. Dwidjono Hadi Darwanto., M.S., PERMINTAAN, PENAWARAN, TRANSMISI VERTIKAL HARGA BERAS DAN KEBIJAKAN PERBERASAN DI INDONESIA |
| title | PERMINTAAN, PENAWARAN, TRANSMISI VERTIKAL
HARGA BERAS DAN KEBIJAKAN PERBERASAN
DI INDONESIA |
| title_full | PERMINTAAN, PENAWARAN, TRANSMISI VERTIKAL
HARGA BERAS DAN KEBIJAKAN PERBERASAN
DI INDONESIA |
| title_fullStr | PERMINTAAN, PENAWARAN, TRANSMISI VERTIKAL
HARGA BERAS DAN KEBIJAKAN PERBERASAN
DI INDONESIA |
| title_full_unstemmed | PERMINTAAN, PENAWARAN, TRANSMISI VERTIKAL
HARGA BERAS DAN KEBIJAKAN PERBERASAN
DI INDONESIA |
| title_short | PERMINTAAN, PENAWARAN, TRANSMISI VERTIKAL
HARGA BERAS DAN KEBIJAKAN PERBERASAN
DI INDONESIA |
| title_sort | permintaan penawaran transmisi vertikal harga beras dan kebijakan perberasan di indonesia |
| topic | ETD |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT retnolantarsihspmp permintaanpenawarantransmisivertikalhargaberasdankebijakanperberasandiindonesia AT profdrirdwidjonohadidarwantoms permintaanpenawarantransmisivertikalhargaberasdankebijakanperberasandiindonesia |