Manfaat Diversifikasi Internasional Bagi Pemodal Developed Markets dan Pemodal Emerging Markets (Bullish Vs Bearish Markets)

To optimize the benefits to be gained by the investor from international diversification policy, it is inseparable from the problem of correlation between the capital market, because the correlation between the markets associated with the movement of capital, when the correlation between the capital...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: , Fazry Sidiq, , Dr. Suad Husnan, M.B.A
Format: Thesis
Published: [Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada 2012
Subjects:
ETD
Description
Summary:To optimize the benefits to be gained by the investor from international diversification policy, it is inseparable from the problem of correlation between the capital market, because the correlation between the markets associated with the movement of capital, when the correlation between the capital market the higher the benefits of international diversification will be smaller, as well as correlation between the capital market is low, the benefits of international diversification will be even greater. The purpose of this study was to see the benefits of international diversification among emerging capital markets with the developed capital markets when the market is bullish conditions (before the subprime mortgage crisis) and bearish (when the subprime mortgage crisis). Use of bullish and bearish periods related to the correlation between the stock market which is the basis for calculating the benefits of international diversification. The sample in this study consisted of developed markets represented by the United States (NYSE), Japan (NIKKEI) and UK (FTSE), while the emerging markets represented by China's (SSE), Brazil (BVSP), India (BSE), Russia (RTS) and Indonesia (CSPI). The data used are weekly data on market indices and foreign exchange rates against the U.S. dollar from January 2005 through December 2009. The analysis tools are Dynamic Condition Correlation (DCC-GARCH) to calculate the correlation between equity markets, while to see the benefits of international diversification use Simple Independent T-Test to see the average value of Reward to Variability Ratio between the markets of developed markets with emerging markets either during the period of bullish and bearish period. The results showed that an increase in the correlation between the developed markets and emerging markets in bearish periods (when the subprime mortgage crisis). For international diversification benefit obtained by developed markets larger than the emerging markets, both in periods of bullish and bearish.