The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
The objective of this paper is to investigate the interrelationship between the two main book distribution channels in Japan, bookstores and libraries. For this purpose, we compare and analyse the circulation of books via bookstores and via libraries in the 60 years since the end of World War II. We...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Conference or Workshop Item |
| Language: | English |
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2011
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| Online Access: | https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/1/K_BIN%20UMINO%20A-LIEP%20IM%2011.pdf |
| _version_ | 1796899460182179840 |
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| author | Umino, Bin Kageura, Kyo Toda, Shinichi |
| author_facet | Umino, Bin Kageura, Kyo Toda, Shinichi |
| author_sort | Umino, Bin |
| collection | UITM |
| description | The objective of this paper is to investigate the interrelationship between the two main book distribution channels in Japan, bookstores and libraries. For this purpose, we compare and analyse the circulation of books via bookstores and via libraries in the 60 years since the end of World War II. We also focus on domestic economic trends as an external factor influencing book circulation. Three time-series variables were analysed: total annual net paid circulation via bookstores (from 1953 to 2009), total annual circulation via public libraries (from 1958 to 2008), and the real economic growth rate, calculated on the basis of real GDP, for each calendar year (from 1956 to 2009). The circulation of books via libraries has increased almost monotonically since the 1960s, while that via bookstores has decreased since reaching a peak in 1996. Simple correlation coefficients and partial correlation coefficients were calculated to demonstrate synchronous relationships between each pair of the three time-series variables. Tests of non-correlations for each correlation coefficient were also conducted. Finally, the Granger causality test was conducted to demonstrate anterior-posterior relationships among variables. From the results of the correlation analyses and the Granger causality test, we can conclude with reasonable certainty that book circulation has been affected by economic trends, whereas the correlation between the circulation of books via bookstores and the circulation of books via libraries is in fact spurious. To eliminate the population effect, per-capita circulation was also calculated. The per-capita circulation data also supported the above conclusion. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-06T01:21:20Z |
| format | Conference or Workshop Item |
| id | oai:ir.uitm.edu.my:3615 |
| institution | Universiti Teknologi MARA |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-06T01:21:20Z |
| publishDate | 2011 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oai:ir.uitm.edu.my:36152019-06-20T07:36:14Z https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/ The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda Umino, Bin Kageura, Kyo Toda, Shinichi Library Science. Information Science The objective of this paper is to investigate the interrelationship between the two main book distribution channels in Japan, bookstores and libraries. For this purpose, we compare and analyse the circulation of books via bookstores and via libraries in the 60 years since the end of World War II. We also focus on domestic economic trends as an external factor influencing book circulation. Three time-series variables were analysed: total annual net paid circulation via bookstores (from 1953 to 2009), total annual circulation via public libraries (from 1958 to 2008), and the real economic growth rate, calculated on the basis of real GDP, for each calendar year (from 1956 to 2009). The circulation of books via libraries has increased almost monotonically since the 1960s, while that via bookstores has decreased since reaching a peak in 1996. Simple correlation coefficients and partial correlation coefficients were calculated to demonstrate synchronous relationships between each pair of the three time-series variables. Tests of non-correlations for each correlation coefficient were also conducted. Finally, the Granger causality test was conducted to demonstrate anterior-posterior relationships among variables. From the results of the correlation analyses and the Granger causality test, we can conclude with reasonable certainty that book circulation has been affected by economic trends, whereas the correlation between the circulation of books via bookstores and the circulation of books via libraries is in fact spurious. To eliminate the population effect, per-capita circulation was also calculated. The per-capita circulation data also supported the above conclusion. 2011 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed text en https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/1/K_BIN%20UMINO%20A-LIEP%20IM%2011.pdf The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda. (2011) In: Proceedings of the Asia-Pacific Conference On Library & Information Education & Practice 2011 (A-LIEP2011), 22-24 June 2011, Putrajaya, Malaysia. |
| spellingShingle | Library Science. Information Science Umino, Bin Kageura, Kyo Toda, Shinichi The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda |
| title | The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda |
| title_full | The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda |
| title_fullStr | The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda |
| title_full_unstemmed | The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda |
| title_short | The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda |
| title_sort | correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in japan a time series analysis bin umino kyo kageura and shinichi toda |
| topic | Library Science. Information Science |
| url | https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/1/K_BIN%20UMINO%20A-LIEP%20IM%2011.pdf |
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