Fiscal deficit and inflation: an empirical measure in view of Pakistan

Much of the literature on macroeconomic issues is devoted to inflation, unemployment, economic growth and budget deficit. This paper contributes by evaluating the relationship of price level with fiscal deficit in case of Pakistan. Fiscal deficit creates more hurdles and narrowing the space for impl...

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Main Authors: Khan, Aurangzeb, Siddiqi, Masood Mashkoor, Khan, Ameerzeib, Khan, Shahbano
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Russian Law Journal 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://repository.londonmet.ac.uk/9828/1/ARDA_JOURNAL_16159%20%281%29.pdf
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author Khan, Aurangzeb
Siddiqi, Masood Mashkoor
Khan, Ameerzeib
Khan, Shahbano
author_facet Khan, Aurangzeb
Siddiqi, Masood Mashkoor
Khan, Ameerzeib
Khan, Shahbano
author_sort Khan, Aurangzeb
collection LMU
description Much of the literature on macroeconomic issues is devoted to inflation, unemployment, economic growth and budget deficit. This paper contributes by evaluating the relationship of price level with fiscal deficit in case of Pakistan. Fiscal deficit creates more hurdles and narrowing the space for implementing other economic decisions for the betterment of overall economy. Among multidimensional issues of fiscal deficit, inflation is more highlighted in everyday newspapers and political talk shows. During the period of economic downturn, government needs more resources to overcome social and economic problems faced by the society. Presently Pakistan also faces the period of high inflation and trying to ease the negative impact by implementing different social security programs. Expenditures incurred in these policies resulted in fiscal deficit, covered mostly by domestic and international borrowings and high tax rates that in turn may lead to increase inflation. For this purpose, an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) is applied to time series data time span from 1971 to 2021, collected from various national and international reports and economic issues. The paper concluded that budget deficit and exchange rate are the variables that affect INFL in the short as well as in long-run, whereas MSP has only long run effect on inflation.
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spelling oai:repository.londonmet.ac.uk:98282024-11-13T14:33:33Z https://repository.londonmet.ac.uk/9828/ Fiscal deficit and inflation: an empirical measure in view of Pakistan Khan, Aurangzeb Siddiqi, Masood Mashkoor Khan, Ameerzeib Khan, Shahbano 300 Social sciences 330 Economics 370 Education Much of the literature on macroeconomic issues is devoted to inflation, unemployment, economic growth and budget deficit. This paper contributes by evaluating the relationship of price level with fiscal deficit in case of Pakistan. Fiscal deficit creates more hurdles and narrowing the space for implementing other economic decisions for the betterment of overall economy. Among multidimensional issues of fiscal deficit, inflation is more highlighted in everyday newspapers and political talk shows. During the period of economic downturn, government needs more resources to overcome social and economic problems faced by the society. Presently Pakistan also faces the period of high inflation and trying to ease the negative impact by implementing different social security programs. Expenditures incurred in these policies resulted in fiscal deficit, covered mostly by domestic and international borrowings and high tax rates that in turn may lead to increase inflation. For this purpose, an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) is applied to time series data time span from 1971 to 2021, collected from various national and international reports and economic issues. The paper concluded that budget deficit and exchange rate are the variables that affect INFL in the short as well as in long-run, whereas MSP has only long run effect on inflation. Russian Law Journal 2023 Article PeerReviewed text en cc_by_nc_nd_4 https://repository.londonmet.ac.uk/9828/1/ARDA_JOURNAL_16159%20%281%29.pdf Khan, Aurangzeb, Siddiqi, Masood Mashkoor, Khan, Ameerzeib and Khan, Shahbano (2023) Fiscal deficit and inflation: an empirical measure in view of Pakistan. Russian Law Journal, 11 (5). pp. 2085-2090. ISSN 2309-8678 https://russianlawjournal.org/index.php/journal/article/view/2985
spellingShingle 300 Social sciences
330 Economics
370 Education
Khan, Aurangzeb
Siddiqi, Masood Mashkoor
Khan, Ameerzeib
Khan, Shahbano
Fiscal deficit and inflation: an empirical measure in view of Pakistan
title Fiscal deficit and inflation: an empirical measure in view of Pakistan
title_full Fiscal deficit and inflation: an empirical measure in view of Pakistan
title_fullStr Fiscal deficit and inflation: an empirical measure in view of Pakistan
title_full_unstemmed Fiscal deficit and inflation: an empirical measure in view of Pakistan
title_short Fiscal deficit and inflation: an empirical measure in view of Pakistan
title_sort fiscal deficit and inflation an empirical measure in view of pakistan
topic 300 Social sciences
330 Economics
370 Education
url https://repository.londonmet.ac.uk/9828/1/ARDA_JOURNAL_16159%20%281%29.pdf
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AT khanameerzeib fiscaldeficitandinflationanempiricalmeasureinviewofpakistan
AT khanshahbano fiscaldeficitandinflationanempiricalmeasureinviewofpakistan