Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient

Biological responses to climate change have been widely documented across taxa and regions, but it remains unclear whether species are maintaining a good match between phenotype and environment, i.e. whether observed trait changes are adaptive. Here we reviewed 10,090 abstracts and extracted data fr...

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Main Authors: Radchuk, V, Reed, T, Teplitsky, C, Sheldon, B
Format: Journal article
Published: Springer Nature 2019
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author Radchuk, V
Reed, T
Teplitsky, C
Sheldon, B
author_facet Radchuk, V
Reed, T
Teplitsky, C
Sheldon, B
author_sort Radchuk, V
collection OXFORD
description Biological responses to climate change have been widely documented across taxa and regions, but it remains unclear whether species are maintaining a good match between phenotype and environment, i.e. whether observed trait changes are adaptive. Here we reviewed 10,090 abstracts and extracted data from 71 studies reported in 58 relevant publications, to assess quantitatively whether phenotypic trait changes associated with climate change are adaptive in animals. A meta-analysis focussing on birds, the taxon best represented in our dataset, suggests that global warming has not systematically affected morphological traits, but has advanced phenological traits. We demonstrate that these advances are adaptive for some species, but imperfect as evidenced by the observed consistent selection for earlier timing. Application of a theoretical model indicates that the evolutionary load imposed by incomplete adaptive responses to ongoing climate change may already be threatening the persistence of species.
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spelling oxford-uuid:0079c926-a481-4572-9efe-553ba79c73802022-03-26T08:29:40ZAdaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficientJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:0079c926-a481-4572-9efe-553ba79c7380Symplectic Elements at OxfordSpringer Nature2019Radchuk, VReed, TTeplitsky, CSheldon, BBiological responses to climate change have been widely documented across taxa and regions, but it remains unclear whether species are maintaining a good match between phenotype and environment, i.e. whether observed trait changes are adaptive. Here we reviewed 10,090 abstracts and extracted data from 71 studies reported in 58 relevant publications, to assess quantitatively whether phenotypic trait changes associated with climate change are adaptive in animals. A meta-analysis focussing on birds, the taxon best represented in our dataset, suggests that global warming has not systematically affected morphological traits, but has advanced phenological traits. We demonstrate that these advances are adaptive for some species, but imperfect as evidenced by the observed consistent selection for earlier timing. Application of a theoretical model indicates that the evolutionary load imposed by incomplete adaptive responses to ongoing climate change may already be threatening the persistence of species.
spellingShingle Radchuk, V
Reed, T
Teplitsky, C
Sheldon, B
Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
title Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
title_full Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
title_fullStr Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
title_full_unstemmed Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
title_short Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
title_sort adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
work_keys_str_mv AT radchukv adaptiveresponsesofanimalstoclimatechangearemostlikelyinsufficient
AT reedt adaptiveresponsesofanimalstoclimatechangearemostlikelyinsufficient
AT teplitskyc adaptiveresponsesofanimalstoclimatechangearemostlikelyinsufficient
AT sheldonb adaptiveresponsesofanimalstoclimatechangearemostlikelyinsufficient