Myopia, the 'Dividend Puzzle', and Share Prices.
The view that the stock market is myopic is commonly expressed in the financial press. However, the existing econometric evidence does not support this view. In this paper, we report econometric evidence suggesting that the market attaches too high a weight to current dividends relative to future di...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Working paper |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
CEPR
1987
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| _version_ | 1797050383463350272 |
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| author | Nickell, S Wadhwani, S |
| author_facet | Nickell, S Wadhwani, S |
| author_sort | Nickell, S |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | The view that the stock market is myopic is commonly expressed in the financial press. However, the existing econometric evidence does not support this view. In this paper, we report econometric evidence suggesting that the market attaches too high a weight to current dividends relative to future dividends. This is consistent with the widely-held belief that the market is myopic. The main reason that we obtain a different result is that we estimate a model that is more general than the standard approach. However, we find no evidence to link this myopic behaviour with increased institutional ownership of equity. Our evidence can also be interpreted as a rejection of the standard efficient markets model, even when we allow for a time-varying discount rate. In addition our test does not depend on the time-series properties of dividends (e.g. we do not require stationarity). |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-06T18:04:20Z |
| format | Working paper |
| id | oxford-uuid:00eab77e-58c1-40f7-ac55-9324b1f97c24 |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-06T18:04:20Z |
| publishDate | 1987 |
| publisher | CEPR |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:00eab77e-58c1-40f7-ac55-9324b1f97c242022-03-26T08:32:00ZMyopia, the 'Dividend Puzzle', and Share Prices.Working paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:00eab77e-58c1-40f7-ac55-9324b1f97c24EnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrintsCEPR1987Nickell, SWadhwani, SThe view that the stock market is myopic is commonly expressed in the financial press. However, the existing econometric evidence does not support this view. In this paper, we report econometric evidence suggesting that the market attaches too high a weight to current dividends relative to future dividends. This is consistent with the widely-held belief that the market is myopic. The main reason that we obtain a different result is that we estimate a model that is more general than the standard approach. However, we find no evidence to link this myopic behaviour with increased institutional ownership of equity. Our evidence can also be interpreted as a rejection of the standard efficient markets model, even when we allow for a time-varying discount rate. In addition our test does not depend on the time-series properties of dividends (e.g. we do not require stationarity). |
| spellingShingle | Nickell, S Wadhwani, S Myopia, the 'Dividend Puzzle', and Share Prices. |
| title | Myopia, the 'Dividend Puzzle', and Share Prices. |
| title_full | Myopia, the 'Dividend Puzzle', and Share Prices. |
| title_fullStr | Myopia, the 'Dividend Puzzle', and Share Prices. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Myopia, the 'Dividend Puzzle', and Share Prices. |
| title_short | Myopia, the 'Dividend Puzzle', and Share Prices. |
| title_sort | myopia the dividend puzzle and share prices |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT nickells myopiathedividendpuzzleandshareprices AT wadhwanis myopiathedividendpuzzleandshareprices |