Engel's Pause: A Pessimist's Guide to the British Industrial Revolution.

The paper reviews the macroeconomic data describing the British economy from 1760 to 1913 and shows that it passed through a two stage evolution of inequality. In the first half of the nineteenth century, the real wage stagnated while output per worker expanded. The profit rate doubled and the share...

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Main Author: Allen, R
Format: Working paper
Language:English
Published: Department of Economics (University of Oxford) 2007
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author Allen, R
author_facet Allen, R
author_sort Allen, R
collection OXFORD
description The paper reviews the macroeconomic data describing the British economy from 1760 to 1913 and shows that it passed through a two stage evolution of inequality. In the first half of the nineteenth century, the real wage stagnated while output per worker expanded. The profit rate doubled and the share of profits in national income expanded at the expense of labour and land. After the middle of the nineteenth century, real wages began to grow in line with productivity, and the profit rate and factor shares stabilized. An integrated model of growth and distribution is developed to explain these trends. The model includes an aggregate production function that explains the distribution of income, while a savings function in which savings depended on property income governs accumulation. Simulations with the model show that technical progress was the prime mover behind the industrial revolution. Capital accumulation was a necessary complement. The surge in inequality was intrinsic to the growth process: Technical change increased the demand for capital and raised the profit rate and capital’s share. The rise in profits, in turn, sustained the industrial revolution by financing the necessary capital accumulation. After the middle of the nineteenth century, accumulation had caught up with the requirements of technology and wages rose in line with productivity.
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spelling oxford-uuid:011eb91a-482c-426c-aba3-eb6fa53fa4262022-03-26T08:33:06ZEngel's Pause: A Pessimist's Guide to the British Industrial Revolution.Working paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:011eb91a-482c-426c-aba3-eb6fa53fa426EnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrintsDepartment of Economics (University of Oxford)2007Allen, RThe paper reviews the macroeconomic data describing the British economy from 1760 to 1913 and shows that it passed through a two stage evolution of inequality. In the first half of the nineteenth century, the real wage stagnated while output per worker expanded. The profit rate doubled and the share of profits in national income expanded at the expense of labour and land. After the middle of the nineteenth century, real wages began to grow in line with productivity, and the profit rate and factor shares stabilized. An integrated model of growth and distribution is developed to explain these trends. The model includes an aggregate production function that explains the distribution of income, while a savings function in which savings depended on property income governs accumulation. Simulations with the model show that technical progress was the prime mover behind the industrial revolution. Capital accumulation was a necessary complement. The surge in inequality was intrinsic to the growth process: Technical change increased the demand for capital and raised the profit rate and capital’s share. The rise in profits, in turn, sustained the industrial revolution by financing the necessary capital accumulation. After the middle of the nineteenth century, accumulation had caught up with the requirements of technology and wages rose in line with productivity.
spellingShingle Allen, R
Engel's Pause: A Pessimist's Guide to the British Industrial Revolution.
title Engel's Pause: A Pessimist's Guide to the British Industrial Revolution.
title_full Engel's Pause: A Pessimist's Guide to the British Industrial Revolution.
title_fullStr Engel's Pause: A Pessimist's Guide to the British Industrial Revolution.
title_full_unstemmed Engel's Pause: A Pessimist's Guide to the British Industrial Revolution.
title_short Engel's Pause: A Pessimist's Guide to the British Industrial Revolution.
title_sort engel s pause a pessimist s guide to the british industrial revolution
work_keys_str_mv AT allenr engelspauseapessimistsguidetothebritishindustrialrevolution