One-shot battery degradation trajectory prediction with deep learning

The degradation of batteries is complex and dependent on several internal mechanisms. Variations arising from manufacturing uncertainties and real-world operating conditions make battery lifetime prediction challenging. Here, we introduce a deep learning-based battery health prognostics approach to...

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Main Authors: Li, W, Sengupta, N, Dechent, P, Howey, D, Annaswamy, A, Sauer, DU
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2021
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author Li, W
Sengupta, N
Dechent, P
Howey, D
Annaswamy, A
Sauer, DU
author_facet Li, W
Sengupta, N
Dechent, P
Howey, D
Annaswamy, A
Sauer, DU
author_sort Li, W
collection OXFORD
description The degradation of batteries is complex and dependent on several internal mechanisms. Variations arising from manufacturing uncertainties and real-world operating conditions make battery lifetime prediction challenging. Here, we introduce a deep learning-based battery health prognostics approach to predict the future degradation trajectory in one shot without iteration or feature extraction. We also predict the end-of-life point and the knee-point. The model correctly learns about intrinsic variability caused by manufacturing differences, and is able to make accurate cell-specific predictions from just 100 cycles of data, and the performance improves over time as more data become available. Validation in an embedded device is demonstrated with the best-case median prediction error over the lifetime being 1.1% with normal data and 1.3% with noisy data. Compared to state-of-the-art approaches, the one-shot approach shows an increase in accuracy as well as in computing speed by up to 15 times. This work further highlights the effectiveness of data-driven approaches in the domain of health prognostics.
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spelling oxford-uuid:02894b61-c899-4127-bc36-bf32768a57f12022-03-26T08:41:17ZOne-shot battery degradation trajectory prediction with deep learningJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:02894b61-c899-4127-bc36-bf32768a57f1EnglishSymplectic ElementsElsevier2021Li, WSengupta, NDechent, PHowey, DAnnaswamy, ASauer, DUThe degradation of batteries is complex and dependent on several internal mechanisms. Variations arising from manufacturing uncertainties and real-world operating conditions make battery lifetime prediction challenging. Here, we introduce a deep learning-based battery health prognostics approach to predict the future degradation trajectory in one shot without iteration or feature extraction. We also predict the end-of-life point and the knee-point. The model correctly learns about intrinsic variability caused by manufacturing differences, and is able to make accurate cell-specific predictions from just 100 cycles of data, and the performance improves over time as more data become available. Validation in an embedded device is demonstrated with the best-case median prediction error over the lifetime being 1.1% with normal data and 1.3% with noisy data. Compared to state-of-the-art approaches, the one-shot approach shows an increase in accuracy as well as in computing speed by up to 15 times. This work further highlights the effectiveness of data-driven approaches in the domain of health prognostics.
spellingShingle Li, W
Sengupta, N
Dechent, P
Howey, D
Annaswamy, A
Sauer, DU
One-shot battery degradation trajectory prediction with deep learning
title One-shot battery degradation trajectory prediction with deep learning
title_full One-shot battery degradation trajectory prediction with deep learning
title_fullStr One-shot battery degradation trajectory prediction with deep learning
title_full_unstemmed One-shot battery degradation trajectory prediction with deep learning
title_short One-shot battery degradation trajectory prediction with deep learning
title_sort one shot battery degradation trajectory prediction with deep learning
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AT senguptan oneshotbatterydegradationtrajectorypredictionwithdeeplearning
AT dechentp oneshotbatterydegradationtrajectorypredictionwithdeeplearning
AT howeyd oneshotbatterydegradationtrajectorypredictionwithdeeplearning
AT annaswamya oneshotbatterydegradationtrajectorypredictionwithdeeplearning
AT sauerdu oneshotbatterydegradationtrajectorypredictionwithdeeplearning