The long memory of the efficient market
For the London Stock Exchange we demonstrate that the signs of orders obey a long-memory process. The autocorrelation function decays roughly as $\tau^{-\alpha}$ with $\alpha \approx 0.6$, corresponding to a Hurst exponent $H \approx 0.7$. This implies that the signs of future orders are quite predi...
Main Authors: | Lillo, F, Farmer, J |
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Format: | Journal article |
Published: |
2003
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