Prediction of adult class II/III obesity from childhood BMI: the i3C consortium

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES:Adult class II/III obesity (BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2) has significant adverse health outcomes. Early prevention and treatment are critical, but prospective childhood risk estimates are lacking. This study aimed to define the prospective risk of adult class II/III obesity, using child...

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Main Authors: Woo, JG, Zhang, N, Fenchel, M, Jacobs, DR, Hu, T, Urbina, EM, Burns, TL, Raitakari, O, Steinberger, J, Bazzano, L, Prineas, RJ, Jaquish, C, Juonala, M, Ryder, JR, Daniels, SR, Sinaiko, A, Dwyer, T, Venn, A
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Springer Nature 2019
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author Woo, JG
Zhang, N
Fenchel, M
Jacobs, DR
Hu, T
Urbina, EM
Burns, TL
Raitakari, O
Steinberger, J
Bazzano, L
Prineas, RJ
Jaquish, C
Juonala, M
Ryder, JR
Daniels, SR
Sinaiko, A
Dwyer, T
Venn, A
author_facet Woo, JG
Zhang, N
Fenchel, M
Jacobs, DR
Hu, T
Urbina, EM
Burns, TL
Raitakari, O
Steinberger, J
Bazzano, L
Prineas, RJ
Jaquish, C
Juonala, M
Ryder, JR
Daniels, SR
Sinaiko, A
Dwyer, T
Venn, A
author_sort Woo, JG
collection OXFORD
description BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES:Adult class II/III obesity (BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2) has significant adverse health outcomes. Early prevention and treatment are critical, but prospective childhood risk estimates are lacking. This study aimed to define the prospective risk of adult class II/III obesity, using childhood BMI. METHODS:Children ages 3-19 years enrolled in cohorts of the International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohort (i3C) consortium with measured BMI assessments in childhood and adulthood were included. Prospective risk of adult class II/III obesity was modeled based on childhood age, sex, race, and BMI. RESULTS:A total of 12,142 individuals (44% male, 85% white) were assessed at median age 14 [Interquartile range, IQR: 11, 16] and 33 [28, 39] years. Class II/III adult obesity developed in 6% of children with normal weight; 29% of children with overweight; 56% of children with obesity; and 80% of children with severe obesity. However, 38% of the 1440 adults with class II/III obesity (553/1440) were normal weight as children. Prospective risk of adult class II/III obesity varied by age, sex, and race within childhood weight status classifications, and is notably higher for girls, black participants, and those in the United States. The risk of class II/III obesity increased with older adult age. CONCLUSIONS:Children with obesity or severe obesity have a substantial risk of adult class II/III obesity, and observed prospective risk estimates are now presented by age, sex, race, and childhood BMI. Clinical monitoring of children's BMI for adult class II/III obesity risk may be especially important for females and black Americans.
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spelling oxford-uuid:04fbc44c-5188-4584-8789-959b5315f19c2022-03-26T08:54:46ZPrediction of adult class II/III obesity from childhood BMI: the i3C consortiumJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:04fbc44c-5188-4584-8789-959b5315f19cEnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordSpringer Nature2019Woo, JGZhang, NFenchel, MJacobs, DRHu, TUrbina, EMBurns, TLRaitakari, OSteinberger, JBazzano, LPrineas, RJJaquish, CJuonala, MRyder, JRDaniels, SRSinaiko, ADwyer, TVenn, ABACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES:Adult class II/III obesity (BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2) has significant adverse health outcomes. Early prevention and treatment are critical, but prospective childhood risk estimates are lacking. This study aimed to define the prospective risk of adult class II/III obesity, using childhood BMI. METHODS:Children ages 3-19 years enrolled in cohorts of the International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohort (i3C) consortium with measured BMI assessments in childhood and adulthood were included. Prospective risk of adult class II/III obesity was modeled based on childhood age, sex, race, and BMI. RESULTS:A total of 12,142 individuals (44% male, 85% white) were assessed at median age 14 [Interquartile range, IQR: 11, 16] and 33 [28, 39] years. Class II/III adult obesity developed in 6% of children with normal weight; 29% of children with overweight; 56% of children with obesity; and 80% of children with severe obesity. However, 38% of the 1440 adults with class II/III obesity (553/1440) were normal weight as children. Prospective risk of adult class II/III obesity varied by age, sex, and race within childhood weight status classifications, and is notably higher for girls, black participants, and those in the United States. The risk of class II/III obesity increased with older adult age. CONCLUSIONS:Children with obesity or severe obesity have a substantial risk of adult class II/III obesity, and observed prospective risk estimates are now presented by age, sex, race, and childhood BMI. Clinical monitoring of children's BMI for adult class II/III obesity risk may be especially important for females and black Americans.
spellingShingle Woo, JG
Zhang, N
Fenchel, M
Jacobs, DR
Hu, T
Urbina, EM
Burns, TL
Raitakari, O
Steinberger, J
Bazzano, L
Prineas, RJ
Jaquish, C
Juonala, M
Ryder, JR
Daniels, SR
Sinaiko, A
Dwyer, T
Venn, A
Prediction of adult class II/III obesity from childhood BMI: the i3C consortium
title Prediction of adult class II/III obesity from childhood BMI: the i3C consortium
title_full Prediction of adult class II/III obesity from childhood BMI: the i3C consortium
title_fullStr Prediction of adult class II/III obesity from childhood BMI: the i3C consortium
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of adult class II/III obesity from childhood BMI: the i3C consortium
title_short Prediction of adult class II/III obesity from childhood BMI: the i3C consortium
title_sort prediction of adult class ii iii obesity from childhood bmi the i3c consortium
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