Are Europeans ready for a more democratic European Union? New evidence on preference heterogeneity, polarisation and crosscuttingness

Some scholars and policy makers argue in favour of increasing democratic contestation for leadership and policy at the European level, for instance by having European-wide parties campaign for competing candidates for President of the European Commission ahead of European Parliament elections. But d...

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Main Authors: Hale, T, Koenig-Archibugi, M
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2016
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author Hale, T
Koenig-Archibugi, M
author_facet Hale, T
Koenig-Archibugi, M
author_sort Hale, T
collection OXFORD
description Some scholars and policy makers argue in favour of increasing democratic contestation for leadership and policy at the European level, for instance by having European-wide parties campaign for competing candidates for President of the European Commission ahead of European Parliament elections. But do such changes put the survival of the European Union at risk? According to the consociational interpretation of the EU, the near absence of competitive and majoritarian elements has been a necessary condition for the stability of the EU political system given its highly diverse population. This article contributes to the debate in two ways. First, it develops a more precise understanding of ‘problematic’ diversity by examining how three variables – the heterogeneity, polarisation and crosscuttingness of citizen preferences over public polices – affect the risk of democratic contestation generating persistent and systematically dissatisfied minorities. Second, it uses opinion surveys to determine whether the degree of diversity of the European population is problematically high compared to that of established democratic states. It is found that the population of the EU is slightly more heterogeneous and polarised than the population of the average Member State, although policy preferences in several Member States are more heterogeneous and polarised than the EU as a whole. Strikingly, however, policy preference cleavages are more crosscutting in the EU than in nearly all Member States, reducing the risk of persistent minorities. Moreover, policy preferences tend to be less heterogeneous and polarised, and nearly as crosscutting, in the EU as a whole as in the United States. For observers worried about how high polarisation and low crosscuttingness in policy preferences may combine to threaten democratic stability, these findings should be reassuring.
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spelling oxford-uuid:06f8a6d2-3e6a-4d47-b19d-c3a743f4eae42025-02-13T16:14:48ZAre Europeans ready for a more democratic European Union? New evidence on preference heterogeneity, polarisation and crosscuttingnessJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:06f8a6d2-3e6a-4d47-b19d-c3a743f4eae4EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordWiley2016Hale, TKoenig-Archibugi, MSome scholars and policy makers argue in favour of increasing democratic contestation for leadership and policy at the European level, for instance by having European-wide parties campaign for competing candidates for President of the European Commission ahead of European Parliament elections. But do such changes put the survival of the European Union at risk? According to the consociational interpretation of the EU, the near absence of competitive and majoritarian elements has been a necessary condition for the stability of the EU political system given its highly diverse population. This article contributes to the debate in two ways. First, it develops a more precise understanding of ‘problematic’ diversity by examining how three variables – the heterogeneity, polarisation and crosscuttingness of citizen preferences over public polices – affect the risk of democratic contestation generating persistent and systematically dissatisfied minorities. Second, it uses opinion surveys to determine whether the degree of diversity of the European population is problematically high compared to that of established democratic states. It is found that the population of the EU is slightly more heterogeneous and polarised than the population of the average Member State, although policy preferences in several Member States are more heterogeneous and polarised than the EU as a whole. Strikingly, however, policy preference cleavages are more crosscutting in the EU than in nearly all Member States, reducing the risk of persistent minorities. Moreover, policy preferences tend to be less heterogeneous and polarised, and nearly as crosscutting, in the EU as a whole as in the United States. For observers worried about how high polarisation and low crosscuttingness in policy preferences may combine to threaten democratic stability, these findings should be reassuring.
spellingShingle Hale, T
Koenig-Archibugi, M
Are Europeans ready for a more democratic European Union? New evidence on preference heterogeneity, polarisation and crosscuttingness
title Are Europeans ready for a more democratic European Union? New evidence on preference heterogeneity, polarisation and crosscuttingness
title_full Are Europeans ready for a more democratic European Union? New evidence on preference heterogeneity, polarisation and crosscuttingness
title_fullStr Are Europeans ready for a more democratic European Union? New evidence on preference heterogeneity, polarisation and crosscuttingness
title_full_unstemmed Are Europeans ready for a more democratic European Union? New evidence on preference heterogeneity, polarisation and crosscuttingness
title_short Are Europeans ready for a more democratic European Union? New evidence on preference heterogeneity, polarisation and crosscuttingness
title_sort are europeans ready for a more democratic european union new evidence on preference heterogeneity polarisation and crosscuttingness
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