Assessing Kuwaiti energy pricing reforms

From mid-2014 Kuwait has experienced a substantial drop in its oil export price and, consequently, government revenue, causing a severe fiscal deficit and impaired economic performance. Cutting energy subsidies has become a policy priority. In the face of widespread opposition, the government rais...

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Main Author: Shehabi, M
Format: Working paper
Language:English
Published: Oxford Institute for Energy Studies 2017
Subjects:
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author Shehabi, M
author_facet Shehabi, M
author_sort Shehabi, M
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description From mid-2014 Kuwait has experienced a substantial drop in its oil export price and, consequently, government revenue, causing a severe fiscal deficit and impaired economic performance. Cutting energy subsidies has become a policy priority. In the face of widespread opposition, the government raised gasoline prices in August 2016, proclaiming such reform key to solving its economic problems; yet recent policy discussions have not addressed the mechanism of pricing reforms. The paper offers a quantification and assessment of energy pricing reform in the current low oil price environment via a general equilibrium model of the Kuwaiti economy that embodies the structure of its economy and its labour market, its oligopolistic industries and their collusive pricing behaviour, and external flows associated with its sovereign wealth fund. Simulations clarify the required adjustments, including the seldom discussed expatriate labour exit and the decline in oligopoly rents. While necessary, subsidy reform implies tradeoffs, notably between fiscal stabilisation and cost of living sustainability. The results confirm that successful implementation must be accompanied by carefully designed mitigation measures and associated microeconomic reforms.
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spelling oxford-uuid:0aa733a3-b08c-4d56-8fb6-5cd309e3d4222022-03-26T09:24:57ZAssessing Kuwaiti energy pricing reformsWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:0aa733a3-b08c-4d56-8fb6-5cd309e3d422Energy policyEnglishORA DepositOxford Institute for Energy Studies2017Shehabi, MFrom mid-2014 Kuwait has experienced a substantial drop in its oil export price and, consequently, government revenue, causing a severe fiscal deficit and impaired economic performance. Cutting energy subsidies has become a policy priority. In the face of widespread opposition, the government raised gasoline prices in August 2016, proclaiming such reform key to solving its economic problems; yet recent policy discussions have not addressed the mechanism of pricing reforms. The paper offers a quantification and assessment of energy pricing reform in the current low oil price environment via a general equilibrium model of the Kuwaiti economy that embodies the structure of its economy and its labour market, its oligopolistic industries and their collusive pricing behaviour, and external flows associated with its sovereign wealth fund. Simulations clarify the required adjustments, including the seldom discussed expatriate labour exit and the decline in oligopoly rents. While necessary, subsidy reform implies tradeoffs, notably between fiscal stabilisation and cost of living sustainability. The results confirm that successful implementation must be accompanied by carefully designed mitigation measures and associated microeconomic reforms.
spellingShingle Energy policy
Shehabi, M
Assessing Kuwaiti energy pricing reforms
title Assessing Kuwaiti energy pricing reforms
title_full Assessing Kuwaiti energy pricing reforms
title_fullStr Assessing Kuwaiti energy pricing reforms
title_full_unstemmed Assessing Kuwaiti energy pricing reforms
title_short Assessing Kuwaiti energy pricing reforms
title_sort assessing kuwaiti energy pricing reforms
topic Energy policy
work_keys_str_mv AT shehabim assessingkuwaitienergypricingreforms