Forecasting by factors, by variables, or both?
We consider forecasting with factors, variables and both, modeling in-sample using Autometrics so all principal components and variables can be included jointly, while tackling multiple breaks by impulse-indicator saturation. A forecast-error taxonomy for factor models highlights the impacts of loc...
Main Authors: | Castle, J, Hendry, D |
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Format: | Working paper |
Izdano: |
University of Oxford
2012
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