Lost generations of firms and aggregate labor market dynamics

Can the unprecedented lack of startups during the U.S. Great Recession have persistently negative effects? While fewer firms hiring workers can mechanically reduce employment for many years, this may be offset by feedback effects on lower wages, slacker labor markets and higher profits. An estimated...

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Main Author: Sedláček, P
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2019
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author Sedláček, P
author_facet Sedláček, P
author_sort Sedláček, P
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description Can the unprecedented lack of startups during the U.S. Great Recession have persistently negative effects? While fewer firms hiring workers can mechanically reduce employment for many years, this may be offset by feedback effects on lower wages, slacker labor markets and higher profits. An estimated model of firm dynamics and frictional labor markets suggests that such feedback effects are too weak to offset the direct impact of fewer startups. Had firm entry remained constant during the Great Recession, output would have recovered 4–6 years earlier and unemployment would have been 0.5 percentage points lower even 10 years after the crisis.
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spelling oxford-uuid:0cecf1fd-975f-4b68-8457-6d992f654c022022-03-26T09:37:47ZLost generations of firms and aggregate labor market dynamicsJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:0cecf1fd-975f-4b68-8457-6d992f654c02EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordElsevier2019Sedláček, PCan the unprecedented lack of startups during the U.S. Great Recession have persistently negative effects? While fewer firms hiring workers can mechanically reduce employment for many years, this may be offset by feedback effects on lower wages, slacker labor markets and higher profits. An estimated model of firm dynamics and frictional labor markets suggests that such feedback effects are too weak to offset the direct impact of fewer startups. Had firm entry remained constant during the Great Recession, output would have recovered 4–6 years earlier and unemployment would have been 0.5 percentage points lower even 10 years after the crisis.
spellingShingle Sedláček, P
Lost generations of firms and aggregate labor market dynamics
title Lost generations of firms and aggregate labor market dynamics
title_full Lost generations of firms and aggregate labor market dynamics
title_fullStr Lost generations of firms and aggregate labor market dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Lost generations of firms and aggregate labor market dynamics
title_short Lost generations of firms and aggregate labor market dynamics
title_sort lost generations of firms and aggregate labor market dynamics
work_keys_str_mv AT sedlacekp lostgenerationsoffirmsandaggregatelabormarketdynamics