The sensitivity of Euro-Atlantic regimes to model horizontal resolution

There is growing evidence that the atmospheric dynamics of the Euro‐Atlantic sector during winter is driven in part by the presence of quasi‐persistent regimes. However, general circulation models typically struggle to simulate these with, for example, an overly weakly persistent blocking regime. Pr...

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Main Authors: Strommen, K, Mavilia, I, Corti, S, Matsueda, M, Davini, P, Hadenberg, J, Vidale, P, Mizuta, R
Format: Journal article
Published: American Geophysical Union 2019
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author Strommen, K
Mavilia, I
Corti, S
Matsueda, M
Davini, P
Hadenberg, J
Vidale, P
Mizuta, R
author_facet Strommen, K
Mavilia, I
Corti, S
Matsueda, M
Davini, P
Hadenberg, J
Vidale, P
Mizuta, R
author_sort Strommen, K
collection OXFORD
description There is growing evidence that the atmospheric dynamics of the Euro‐Atlantic sector during winter is driven in part by the presence of quasi‐persistent regimes. However, general circulation models typically struggle to simulate these with, for example, an overly weakly persistent blocking regime. Previous studies have showed that increased horizontal resolution can improve the regime structure of a model but have so far only considered a single model with only one ensemble member at each resolution, leaving open the possibility that this may be either coincidental or model dependent. We show that the improvement in regime structure due to increased resolution is robust across multiple models with multiple ensemble members. However, while the high‐resolution models have notably more tightly clustered data, other aspects of the regimes may not necessarily improve and are also subject to a large amount of sampling variability that typically requires at least three ensemble members to surmount.
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spelling oxford-uuid:0d4feecc-05a3-4c02-b248-c8ecbbf4bf8b2022-03-26T09:39:50ZThe sensitivity of Euro-Atlantic regimes to model horizontal resolutionJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:0d4feecc-05a3-4c02-b248-c8ecbbf4bf8bSymplectic Elements at OxfordAmerican Geophysical Union2019Strommen, KMavilia, ICorti, SMatsueda, MDavini, PHadenberg, JVidale, PMizuta, RThere is growing evidence that the atmospheric dynamics of the Euro‐Atlantic sector during winter is driven in part by the presence of quasi‐persistent regimes. However, general circulation models typically struggle to simulate these with, for example, an overly weakly persistent blocking regime. Previous studies have showed that increased horizontal resolution can improve the regime structure of a model but have so far only considered a single model with only one ensemble member at each resolution, leaving open the possibility that this may be either coincidental or model dependent. We show that the improvement in regime structure due to increased resolution is robust across multiple models with multiple ensemble members. However, while the high‐resolution models have notably more tightly clustered data, other aspects of the regimes may not necessarily improve and are also subject to a large amount of sampling variability that typically requires at least three ensemble members to surmount.
spellingShingle Strommen, K
Mavilia, I
Corti, S
Matsueda, M
Davini, P
Hadenberg, J
Vidale, P
Mizuta, R
The sensitivity of Euro-Atlantic regimes to model horizontal resolution
title The sensitivity of Euro-Atlantic regimes to model horizontal resolution
title_full The sensitivity of Euro-Atlantic regimes to model horizontal resolution
title_fullStr The sensitivity of Euro-Atlantic regimes to model horizontal resolution
title_full_unstemmed The sensitivity of Euro-Atlantic regimes to model horizontal resolution
title_short The sensitivity of Euro-Atlantic regimes to model horizontal resolution
title_sort sensitivity of euro atlantic regimes to model horizontal resolution
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