Endogenous popularity: how perceptions of support affect the popularity of authoritarian regimes

Being popular makes it easier for dictators to govern. A growing body of scholarship therefore focuses on the factors that influence authoritarian popularity. However, it is possible that the perception of popularity itself affects incumbent approval in autocracies. We use framing experiments embedd...

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Main Authors: Buckley, NOAH, Marquardt, KL, Reuter, ORAJ, Tertytchnaya, K
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2023
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author Buckley, NOAH
Marquardt, KL
Reuter, ORAJ
Tertytchnaya, K
author_facet Buckley, NOAH
Marquardt, KL
Reuter, ORAJ
Tertytchnaya, K
author_sort Buckley, NOAH
collection OXFORD
description Being popular makes it easier for dictators to govern. A growing body of scholarship therefore focuses on the factors that influence authoritarian popularity. However, it is possible that the perception of popularity itself affects incumbent approval in autocracies. We use framing experiments embedded in four surveys in Russia to examine this phenomenon. These experiments reveal that manipulating information - and thereby perceptions - about Russian President Vladimir Putin's popularity can significantly affect respondents' support for him. Additional analyses, which rely on a novel combination of framing and list experiments, indicate that these changes in support are not due to preference falsification, but are in fact genuine. This study has implications for research on support for authoritarian leaders and defection cascades in nondemocratic regimes.
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spelling oxford-uuid:0d6d8b64-12a8-4db1-9ed4-4e39e0d279572024-09-09T09:59:21ZEndogenous popularity: how perceptions of support affect the popularity of authoritarian regimesJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:0d6d8b64-12a8-4db1-9ed4-4e39e0d27957EnglishSymplectic ElementsCambridge University Press2023Buckley, NOAHMarquardt, KLReuter, ORAJTertytchnaya, KBeing popular makes it easier for dictators to govern. A growing body of scholarship therefore focuses on the factors that influence authoritarian popularity. However, it is possible that the perception of popularity itself affects incumbent approval in autocracies. We use framing experiments embedded in four surveys in Russia to examine this phenomenon. These experiments reveal that manipulating information - and thereby perceptions - about Russian President Vladimir Putin's popularity can significantly affect respondents' support for him. Additional analyses, which rely on a novel combination of framing and list experiments, indicate that these changes in support are not due to preference falsification, but are in fact genuine. This study has implications for research on support for authoritarian leaders and defection cascades in nondemocratic regimes.
spellingShingle Buckley, NOAH
Marquardt, KL
Reuter, ORAJ
Tertytchnaya, K
Endogenous popularity: how perceptions of support affect the popularity of authoritarian regimes
title Endogenous popularity: how perceptions of support affect the popularity of authoritarian regimes
title_full Endogenous popularity: how perceptions of support affect the popularity of authoritarian regimes
title_fullStr Endogenous popularity: how perceptions of support affect the popularity of authoritarian regimes
title_full_unstemmed Endogenous popularity: how perceptions of support affect the popularity of authoritarian regimes
title_short Endogenous popularity: how perceptions of support affect the popularity of authoritarian regimes
title_sort endogenous popularity how perceptions of support affect the popularity of authoritarian regimes
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