“Unusual, unstable, complicated, unreliable and temporary” reinterpreting the ebb and flow of globalization

<p>In 1919, John Maynard Keynes wrote his famous tract The Economic Consequences of the Peace. In that work, he anticipated the collapse of the first era of globalization that began in the mid-nineteenth century. He admonished the short-sighted assumption that these years of relative peace and...

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Príomhchruthaitheoirí: Bordo, MD, Schenk, CR
Formáid: Working paper
Teanga:English
Foilsithe / Cruthaithe: National Bureau of Economic Research 2021
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author Bordo, MD
Schenk, CR
author_facet Bordo, MD
Schenk, CR
author_sort Bordo, MD
collection OXFORD
description <p>In 1919, John Maynard Keynes wrote his famous tract The Economic Consequences of the Peace. In that work, he anticipated the collapse of the first era of globalization that began in the mid-nineteenth century. He admonished the short-sighted assumption that these years of relative peace and prosperity for many was a permanent norm, interrupted only briefly by the Great War. The diplomatic failures, lapses in leadership, and promotion of narrow interests and vision outlined by Keynes underpinned his prediction of a backslash of economic nationalism, trade protectionism, and recession.</p> <br> <p>The paper revisits the turning points in the evolution of the global economic system since 1919 by focusing primarily on the evolution of the international monetary system and policy cooperation/coordination. We identify three disruptions and examine how each prompted a change in the underlying ideology about how the international monetary system should organize: World War I, Bretton Woods, 1970s Great Inflation and Managed Floating. Each turning point was characterized by different forms and institutions of cooperation, how rules (either explicit or implicit) were designed and implemented, and the crucial importance of the historical context.</p>
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spelling oxford-uuid:0f4e54a8-b858-4c12-942a-6fbfe46e472c2022-03-26T09:50:32Z“Unusual, unstable, complicated, unreliable and temporary” reinterpreting the ebb and flow of globalizationWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:0f4e54a8-b858-4c12-942a-6fbfe46e472cEnglishSymplectic ElementsNational Bureau of Economic Research2021Bordo, MDSchenk, CR<p>In 1919, John Maynard Keynes wrote his famous tract The Economic Consequences of the Peace. In that work, he anticipated the collapse of the first era of globalization that began in the mid-nineteenth century. He admonished the short-sighted assumption that these years of relative peace and prosperity for many was a permanent norm, interrupted only briefly by the Great War. The diplomatic failures, lapses in leadership, and promotion of narrow interests and vision outlined by Keynes underpinned his prediction of a backslash of economic nationalism, trade protectionism, and recession.</p> <br> <p>The paper revisits the turning points in the evolution of the global economic system since 1919 by focusing primarily on the evolution of the international monetary system and policy cooperation/coordination. We identify three disruptions and examine how each prompted a change in the underlying ideology about how the international monetary system should organize: World War I, Bretton Woods, 1970s Great Inflation and Managed Floating. Each turning point was characterized by different forms and institutions of cooperation, how rules (either explicit or implicit) were designed and implemented, and the crucial importance of the historical context.</p>
spellingShingle Bordo, MD
Schenk, CR
“Unusual, unstable, complicated, unreliable and temporary” reinterpreting the ebb and flow of globalization
title “Unusual, unstable, complicated, unreliable and temporary” reinterpreting the ebb and flow of globalization
title_full “Unusual, unstable, complicated, unreliable and temporary” reinterpreting the ebb and flow of globalization
title_fullStr “Unusual, unstable, complicated, unreliable and temporary” reinterpreting the ebb and flow of globalization
title_full_unstemmed “Unusual, unstable, complicated, unreliable and temporary” reinterpreting the ebb and flow of globalization
title_short “Unusual, unstable, complicated, unreliable and temporary” reinterpreting the ebb and flow of globalization
title_sort unusual unstable complicated unreliable and temporary reinterpreting the ebb and flow of globalization
work_keys_str_mv AT bordomd unusualunstablecomplicatedunreliableandtemporaryreinterpretingtheebbandflowofglobalization
AT schenkcr unusualunstablecomplicatedunreliableandtemporaryreinterpretingtheebbandflowofglobalization