On the Duration of Civil War.
The duration of large-scale, violent civil conflict increases substantially if the society is composed of a few large ethnic groups, if there is extensive forest cover, and if the conflict has commenced since 1980. None of these factors affects the initiation of conflict. And neither the duration no...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Working paper |
| Language: | English |
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World Bank
2001
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| _version_ | 1797054092162367488 |
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| author | Collier, P Hoeffler, A Söderbom, M |
| author_facet | Collier, P Hoeffler, A Söderbom, M |
| author_sort | Collier, P |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | The duration of large-scale, violent civil conflict increases substantially if the society is composed of a few large ethnic groups, if there is extensive forest cover, and if the conflict has commenced since 1980. None of these factors affects the initiation of conflict. And neither the duration nor the initiation of conflict is affected by initial inequality or political repression. Collier, Hoeffler, and Soderbom model the duration of large-scale, violent civil conflicts, applying hazard functions to a comprehensive data set on such conflicts for the period 1960-99. They find that the duration of conflicts is determined by a substantially different set of variables than those that determine their initiation. The duration of conflict increases substantially if the society is composed of a few large ethnic groups, if there is extensive forest cover, and if the conflict has commenced since 1980. None of these factors affects the initiation of conflict. The authors also find that neither the duration nor the initiation of conflict is affected by initial inequality or political repression. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that rebellions are initiated where they are viable during conflict, regardless of the prospects of attaining post-conflict goals, and that they persist unless circumstances change. This paper--a product of the Office of the Director, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to study large scale violent conflict. The authors may be contacted at pcollier@worldbank.org, anke.hoeffler@ox.ec.ac.uk, or mans.soderbom@ox.ec.ac.uk. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-06T18:52:42Z |
| format | Working paper |
| id | oxford-uuid:10c8eee7-1c5c-451d-bcd3-2ce1c21bcf69 |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-06T18:52:42Z |
| publishDate | 2001 |
| publisher | World Bank |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:10c8eee7-1c5c-451d-bcd3-2ce1c21bcf692022-03-26T09:58:23ZOn the Duration of Civil War.Working paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:10c8eee7-1c5c-451d-bcd3-2ce1c21bcf69EnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrintsWorld Bank2001Collier, PHoeffler, ASöderbom, MThe duration of large-scale, violent civil conflict increases substantially if the society is composed of a few large ethnic groups, if there is extensive forest cover, and if the conflict has commenced since 1980. None of these factors affects the initiation of conflict. And neither the duration nor the initiation of conflict is affected by initial inequality or political repression. Collier, Hoeffler, and Soderbom model the duration of large-scale, violent civil conflicts, applying hazard functions to a comprehensive data set on such conflicts for the period 1960-99. They find that the duration of conflicts is determined by a substantially different set of variables than those that determine their initiation. The duration of conflict increases substantially if the society is composed of a few large ethnic groups, if there is extensive forest cover, and if the conflict has commenced since 1980. None of these factors affects the initiation of conflict. The authors also find that neither the duration nor the initiation of conflict is affected by initial inequality or political repression. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that rebellions are initiated where they are viable during conflict, regardless of the prospects of attaining post-conflict goals, and that they persist unless circumstances change. This paper--a product of the Office of the Director, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to study large scale violent conflict. The authors may be contacted at pcollier@worldbank.org, anke.hoeffler@ox.ec.ac.uk, or mans.soderbom@ox.ec.ac.uk. |
| spellingShingle | Collier, P Hoeffler, A Söderbom, M On the Duration of Civil War. |
| title | On the Duration of Civil War. |
| title_full | On the Duration of Civil War. |
| title_fullStr | On the Duration of Civil War. |
| title_full_unstemmed | On the Duration of Civil War. |
| title_short | On the Duration of Civil War. |
| title_sort | on the duration of civil war |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT collierp onthedurationofcivilwar AT hoefflera onthedurationofcivilwar AT soderbomm onthedurationofcivilwar |