Likelihood Inference for Discretely Observed Nonlinear Diffusions.

This paper is concerned with the Bayesian estimation of nonlinear stochastic differential equations when observations are discretely sampled. The estimation framework relies on the introduction of latent auxiliary data to complete the missing diffusion between each pair of measurements. Tuned Markov...

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Main Authors: Elerain, O, Chib, S, Shephard, N
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Econometric Society 2001
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author Elerain, O
Chib, S
Shephard, N
author_facet Elerain, O
Chib, S
Shephard, N
author_sort Elerain, O
collection OXFORD
description This paper is concerned with the Bayesian estimation of nonlinear stochastic differential equations when observations are discretely sampled. The estimation framework relies on the introduction of latent auxiliary data to complete the missing diffusion between each pair of measurements. Tuned Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods based on the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, in conjunction with the Euler-Maruyama discretization scheme, are used to sample the posterior distribution of the latent data and the model parameters. Techniques for computing the likelihood function, the marginal likelihood, and diagnostic measures (all based on the MCMC output) are developed. Examples using simulated and real data are presented and discussed in detail.
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spelling oxford-uuid:10ca55b2-b3a1-4f06-882a-904b55c805202022-03-26T09:58:19ZLikelihood Inference for Discretely Observed Nonlinear Diffusions.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:10ca55b2-b3a1-4f06-882a-904b55c80520EnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrintsEconometric Society2001Elerain, OChib, SShephard, NThis paper is concerned with the Bayesian estimation of nonlinear stochastic differential equations when observations are discretely sampled. The estimation framework relies on the introduction of latent auxiliary data to complete the missing diffusion between each pair of measurements. Tuned Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods based on the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, in conjunction with the Euler-Maruyama discretization scheme, are used to sample the posterior distribution of the latent data and the model parameters. Techniques for computing the likelihood function, the marginal likelihood, and diagnostic measures (all based on the MCMC output) are developed. Examples using simulated and real data are presented and discussed in detail.
spellingShingle Elerain, O
Chib, S
Shephard, N
Likelihood Inference for Discretely Observed Nonlinear Diffusions.
title Likelihood Inference for Discretely Observed Nonlinear Diffusions.
title_full Likelihood Inference for Discretely Observed Nonlinear Diffusions.
title_fullStr Likelihood Inference for Discretely Observed Nonlinear Diffusions.
title_full_unstemmed Likelihood Inference for Discretely Observed Nonlinear Diffusions.
title_short Likelihood Inference for Discretely Observed Nonlinear Diffusions.
title_sort likelihood inference for discretely observed nonlinear diffusions
work_keys_str_mv AT eleraino likelihoodinferencefordiscretelyobservednonlineardiffusions
AT chibs likelihoodinferencefordiscretelyobservednonlineardiffusions
AT shephardn likelihoodinferencefordiscretelyobservednonlineardiffusions