Limited partners versus unlimited machines; artificial intelligence and the performance of private equity funds

We assemble a proprietary dataset of 395 private equity (PE) fund prospectuses to analyze fund performance and fundraising success. We analyze both quantitative and qualitative information contained in these documents using econometric methods and machine learning techniques. PE fund performance is...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Fernández Tamayo, B, Braun, R, Lopez-de-Silanes, F, Phalippou, L, Sigrist, N
Format: Internet publication
Language:English
Published: 2023
_version_ 1826317679784361984
author Fernández Tamayo, B
Braun, R
Lopez-de-Silanes, F
Phalippou, L
Sigrist, N
author_facet Fernández Tamayo, B
Braun, R
Lopez-de-Silanes, F
Phalippou, L
Sigrist, N
author_sort Fernández Tamayo, B
collection OXFORD
description We assemble a proprietary dataset of 395 private equity (PE) fund prospectuses to analyze fund performance and fundraising success. We analyze both quantitative and qualitative information contained in these documents using econometric methods and machine learning techniques. PE fund performance is unrelated to quantitative information, such as prior performance, and measures of document readability. Measures of fundraising success, in contrast, are correlated to most fund characteristics but are not related to future performance. Meanwhile, machine learning tools can use qualitative information to predict future fund performance: the performance spread between the funds within the top and bottom terciles of predicted probability of success is about 25%. Our findings support the view that in opaque and non-standardized markets, investors fail to incorporate qualitative information in their asset manager selection process, but do incorporate salient quantitative information.
first_indexed 2025-03-11T16:57:44Z
format Internet publication
id oxford-uuid:1232b90e-9700-483e-9e34-15cee2369fff
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2025-03-11T16:57:44Z
publishDate 2023
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:1232b90e-9700-483e-9e34-15cee2369fff2025-02-28T16:45:31ZLimited partners versus unlimited machines; artificial intelligence and the performance of private equity fundsInternet publicationhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_7ad9uuid:1232b90e-9700-483e-9e34-15cee2369fffEnglishSymplectic Elements2023Fernández Tamayo, BBraun, RLopez-de-Silanes, FPhalippou, LSigrist, NWe assemble a proprietary dataset of 395 private equity (PE) fund prospectuses to analyze fund performance and fundraising success. We analyze both quantitative and qualitative information contained in these documents using econometric methods and machine learning techniques. PE fund performance is unrelated to quantitative information, such as prior performance, and measures of document readability. Measures of fundraising success, in contrast, are correlated to most fund characteristics but are not related to future performance. Meanwhile, machine learning tools can use qualitative information to predict future fund performance: the performance spread between the funds within the top and bottom terciles of predicted probability of success is about 25%. Our findings support the view that in opaque and non-standardized markets, investors fail to incorporate qualitative information in their asset manager selection process, but do incorporate salient quantitative information.
spellingShingle Fernández Tamayo, B
Braun, R
Lopez-de-Silanes, F
Phalippou, L
Sigrist, N
Limited partners versus unlimited machines; artificial intelligence and the performance of private equity funds
title Limited partners versus unlimited machines; artificial intelligence and the performance of private equity funds
title_full Limited partners versus unlimited machines; artificial intelligence and the performance of private equity funds
title_fullStr Limited partners versus unlimited machines; artificial intelligence and the performance of private equity funds
title_full_unstemmed Limited partners versus unlimited machines; artificial intelligence and the performance of private equity funds
title_short Limited partners versus unlimited machines; artificial intelligence and the performance of private equity funds
title_sort limited partners versus unlimited machines artificial intelligence and the performance of private equity funds
work_keys_str_mv AT fernandeztamayob limitedpartnersversusunlimitedmachinesartificialintelligenceandtheperformanceofprivateequityfunds
AT braunr limitedpartnersversusunlimitedmachinesartificialintelligenceandtheperformanceofprivateequityfunds
AT lopezdesilanesf limitedpartnersversusunlimitedmachinesartificialintelligenceandtheperformanceofprivateequityfunds
AT phalippoul limitedpartnersversusunlimitedmachinesartificialintelligenceandtheperformanceofprivateequityfunds
AT sigristn limitedpartnersversusunlimitedmachinesartificialintelligenceandtheperformanceofprivateequityfunds