Inefficient continuation decisions, job creation costs, and the cost of business cycles

This paper develops a model according to which the costs of business cycles are nontrivial because they reduce the average level of output. The reason is an interaction between job creation costs and an agency problem. The agency problem triggers separations during economic downturns even though bot...

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Main Authors: Den Haan, W, Sedlacek, P
Format: Book
Published: Wiley 2014
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author Den Haan, W
Sedlacek, P
author_facet Den Haan, W
Sedlacek, P
author_sort Den Haan, W
collection OXFORD
description This paper develops a model according to which the costs of business cycles are nontrivial because they reduce the average level of output. The reason is an interaction between job creation costs and an agency problem. The agency problem triggers separations during economic downturns even though both the employer and the worker would be better off if the job was not discontinued, that is, affected jobs have strictly positive surplus values. Similarly, booms make it possible for more jobs to overcome the agency problem. These effects do not offset each other, because business cycles reduce the expected job duration for these jobs. With positive job creation costs, business cycles then reduce the creation of valuable jobs and lower average activity levels. Considering a wide range of parameter values, we find estimates for the cost of business cycles ranging from 2.03% to 12.7% of gross domestic product.
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spelling oxford-uuid:1263dea7-71c9-41a1-bab8-5a09053b3b122022-03-26T10:07:45ZInefficient continuation decisions, job creation costs, and the cost of business cyclesBookhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_1843uuid:1263dea7-71c9-41a1-bab8-5a09053b3b12Symplectic Elements at OxfordWiley2014Den Haan, WSedlacek, PThis paper develops a model according to which the costs of business cycles are nontrivial because they reduce the average level of output. The reason is an interaction between job creation costs and an agency problem. The agency problem triggers separations during economic downturns even though both the employer and the worker would be better off if the job was not discontinued, that is, affected jobs have strictly positive surplus values. Similarly, booms make it possible for more jobs to overcome the agency problem. These effects do not offset each other, because business cycles reduce the expected job duration for these jobs. With positive job creation costs, business cycles then reduce the creation of valuable jobs and lower average activity levels. Considering a wide range of parameter values, we find estimates for the cost of business cycles ranging from 2.03% to 12.7% of gross domestic product.
spellingShingle Den Haan, W
Sedlacek, P
Inefficient continuation decisions, job creation costs, and the cost of business cycles
title Inefficient continuation decisions, job creation costs, and the cost of business cycles
title_full Inefficient continuation decisions, job creation costs, and the cost of business cycles
title_fullStr Inefficient continuation decisions, job creation costs, and the cost of business cycles
title_full_unstemmed Inefficient continuation decisions, job creation costs, and the cost of business cycles
title_short Inefficient continuation decisions, job creation costs, and the cost of business cycles
title_sort inefficient continuation decisions job creation costs and the cost of business cycles
work_keys_str_mv AT denhaanw inefficientcontinuationdecisionsjobcreationcostsandthecostofbusinesscycles
AT sedlacekp inefficientcontinuationdecisionsjobcreationcostsandthecostofbusinesscycles