Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment

The behaviour of individuals, businesses, and government entities before, during, and immediately after a disaster can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. However, existing risk-assessment methods rarely include this critical factor. In this Perspective, we show why this is a concern,...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Principais autores: Aerts, J, Botzen, W, Clarke, K, Cutter, S, Hall, J, Merz, B, Michel-Kerjan, E, Mysiak, J, Surminski, S, Kunreuther, H
Formato: Journal article
Publicado em: Nature Publishing Group 2018
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author Aerts, J
Botzen, W
Clarke, K
Cutter, S
Hall, J
Merz, B
Michel-Kerjan, E
Mysiak, J
Surminski, S
Kunreuther, H
Hall, J
author_facet Aerts, J
Botzen, W
Clarke, K
Cutter, S
Hall, J
Merz, B
Michel-Kerjan, E
Mysiak, J
Surminski, S
Kunreuther, H
Hall, J
author_sort Aerts, J
collection OXFORD
description The behaviour of individuals, businesses, and government entities before, during, and immediately after a disaster can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. However, existing risk-assessment methods rarely include this critical factor. In this Perspective, we show why this is a concern, and demonstrate that although initial efforts have inevitably represented human behaviour in limited terms, innovations in flood-risk assessment that integrate societal behaviour and behavioural adaptation dynamics into such quantifications may lead to more accurate characterization of risks and improved assessment of the effectiveness of risk-management strategies and investments. Such multidisciplinary approaches can inform flood-risk management policy development.
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spelling oxford-uuid:1449f4ad-fb6e-4eda-a76d-f2c68512bd9a2022-03-26T10:18:54ZIntegrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessmentJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:1449f4ad-fb6e-4eda-a76d-f2c68512bd9aSymplectic Elements at OxfordNature Publishing Group2018Aerts, JBotzen, WClarke, KCutter, SHall, JMerz, BMichel-Kerjan, EMysiak, JSurminski, SKunreuther, HHall, JThe behaviour of individuals, businesses, and government entities before, during, and immediately after a disaster can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. However, existing risk-assessment methods rarely include this critical factor. In this Perspective, we show why this is a concern, and demonstrate that although initial efforts have inevitably represented human behaviour in limited terms, innovations in flood-risk assessment that integrate societal behaviour and behavioural adaptation dynamics into such quantifications may lead to more accurate characterization of risks and improved assessment of the effectiveness of risk-management strategies and investments. Such multidisciplinary approaches can inform flood-risk management policy development.
spellingShingle Aerts, J
Botzen, W
Clarke, K
Cutter, S
Hall, J
Merz, B
Michel-Kerjan, E
Mysiak, J
Surminski, S
Kunreuther, H
Hall, J
Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment
title Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment
title_full Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment
title_fullStr Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment
title_full_unstemmed Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment
title_short Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment
title_sort integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment
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