Blood pressure, stroke, and coronary heart disease. Part 1, Prolonged differences in blood pressure: prospective observational studies corrected for the regression dilution bias.

The associations of diastolic blood pressure (DBP) with stroke and with coronary heart disease (CHD) were investigated in nine major prospective observational studies: total 420,000 individuals, 843 strokes, and 4856 CHD events, 6-25 (mean 10) years of follow-up. The combined results demonstrate pos...

Бүрэн тодорхойлолт

Номзүйн дэлгэрэнгүй
Үндсэн зохиолчид: MacMahon, S, Peto, R, Cutler, J, Collins, R, Sorlie, P, Neaton, J, Abbott, R, Godwin, J, Dyer, A, Stamler, J
Формат: Journal article
Хэл сонгох:English
Хэвлэсэн: 1990
_version_ 1826260542650580992
author MacMahon, S
Peto, R
Cutler, J
Collins, R
Sorlie, P
Neaton, J
Abbott, R
Godwin, J
Dyer, A
Stamler, J
author_facet MacMahon, S
Peto, R
Cutler, J
Collins, R
Sorlie, P
Neaton, J
Abbott, R
Godwin, J
Dyer, A
Stamler, J
author_sort MacMahon, S
collection OXFORD
description The associations of diastolic blood pressure (DBP) with stroke and with coronary heart disease (CHD) were investigated in nine major prospective observational studies: total 420,000 individuals, 843 strokes, and 4856 CHD events, 6-25 (mean 10) years of follow-up. The combined results demonstrate positive, continuous, and apparently independent associations, with no significant heterogeneity of effect among different studies. Within the range of DBP studied (about 70-110 mm Hg), there was no evidence of any "threshold" below which lower levels of DBP were not associated with lower risks of stroke and of CHD. Previous analyses have described the uncorrected associations of DBP measured just at "baseline" with subsequent disease rates. But, because of the diluting effects of random fluctuations in DBP, these substantially underestimate the true associations of the usual DBP (ie, an individual's long-term average DBP) with disease. After correction for this "regression dilution" bias, prolonged differences in usual DBP of 5, 7.5, and 10 mm Hg were respectively associated with at least 34%, 46%, and 56% less stroke and at least 21%, 29%, and 37% less CHD. These associations are about 60% greater than in previous uncorrected analyses. (This regression dilution bias is quite general, so analogous corrections to the relations of cholesterol to CHD or of various other risk factors to CHD or to other diseases would likewise increase their estimated strengths.) The DBP results suggest that for the large majority of individuals, whether conventionally "hypertensive" or "normotensive", a lower blood pressure should eventually confer a lower risk of vascular disease.
first_indexed 2024-03-06T19:07:16Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:15939a5c-5a99-4db9-afdc-d15df3a85fe5
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-06T19:07:16Z
publishDate 1990
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:15939a5c-5a99-4db9-afdc-d15df3a85fe52022-03-26T10:26:20ZBlood pressure, stroke, and coronary heart disease. Part 1, Prolonged differences in blood pressure: prospective observational studies corrected for the regression dilution bias.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:15939a5c-5a99-4db9-afdc-d15df3a85fe5EnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford1990MacMahon, SPeto, RCutler, JCollins, RSorlie, PNeaton, JAbbott, RGodwin, JDyer, AStamler, JThe associations of diastolic blood pressure (DBP) with stroke and with coronary heart disease (CHD) were investigated in nine major prospective observational studies: total 420,000 individuals, 843 strokes, and 4856 CHD events, 6-25 (mean 10) years of follow-up. The combined results demonstrate positive, continuous, and apparently independent associations, with no significant heterogeneity of effect among different studies. Within the range of DBP studied (about 70-110 mm Hg), there was no evidence of any "threshold" below which lower levels of DBP were not associated with lower risks of stroke and of CHD. Previous analyses have described the uncorrected associations of DBP measured just at "baseline" with subsequent disease rates. But, because of the diluting effects of random fluctuations in DBP, these substantially underestimate the true associations of the usual DBP (ie, an individual's long-term average DBP) with disease. After correction for this "regression dilution" bias, prolonged differences in usual DBP of 5, 7.5, and 10 mm Hg were respectively associated with at least 34%, 46%, and 56% less stroke and at least 21%, 29%, and 37% less CHD. These associations are about 60% greater than in previous uncorrected analyses. (This regression dilution bias is quite general, so analogous corrections to the relations of cholesterol to CHD or of various other risk factors to CHD or to other diseases would likewise increase their estimated strengths.) The DBP results suggest that for the large majority of individuals, whether conventionally "hypertensive" or "normotensive", a lower blood pressure should eventually confer a lower risk of vascular disease.
spellingShingle MacMahon, S
Peto, R
Cutler, J
Collins, R
Sorlie, P
Neaton, J
Abbott, R
Godwin, J
Dyer, A
Stamler, J
Blood pressure, stroke, and coronary heart disease. Part 1, Prolonged differences in blood pressure: prospective observational studies corrected for the regression dilution bias.
title Blood pressure, stroke, and coronary heart disease. Part 1, Prolonged differences in blood pressure: prospective observational studies corrected for the regression dilution bias.
title_full Blood pressure, stroke, and coronary heart disease. Part 1, Prolonged differences in blood pressure: prospective observational studies corrected for the regression dilution bias.
title_fullStr Blood pressure, stroke, and coronary heart disease. Part 1, Prolonged differences in blood pressure: prospective observational studies corrected for the regression dilution bias.
title_full_unstemmed Blood pressure, stroke, and coronary heart disease. Part 1, Prolonged differences in blood pressure: prospective observational studies corrected for the regression dilution bias.
title_short Blood pressure, stroke, and coronary heart disease. Part 1, Prolonged differences in blood pressure: prospective observational studies corrected for the regression dilution bias.
title_sort blood pressure stroke and coronary heart disease part 1 prolonged differences in blood pressure prospective observational studies corrected for the regression dilution bias
work_keys_str_mv AT macmahons bloodpressurestrokeandcoronaryheartdiseasepart1prolongeddifferencesinbloodpressureprospectiveobservationalstudiescorrectedfortheregressiondilutionbias
AT petor bloodpressurestrokeandcoronaryheartdiseasepart1prolongeddifferencesinbloodpressureprospectiveobservationalstudiescorrectedfortheregressiondilutionbias
AT cutlerj bloodpressurestrokeandcoronaryheartdiseasepart1prolongeddifferencesinbloodpressureprospectiveobservationalstudiescorrectedfortheregressiondilutionbias
AT collinsr bloodpressurestrokeandcoronaryheartdiseasepart1prolongeddifferencesinbloodpressureprospectiveobservationalstudiescorrectedfortheregressiondilutionbias
AT sorliep bloodpressurestrokeandcoronaryheartdiseasepart1prolongeddifferencesinbloodpressureprospectiveobservationalstudiescorrectedfortheregressiondilutionbias
AT neatonj bloodpressurestrokeandcoronaryheartdiseasepart1prolongeddifferencesinbloodpressureprospectiveobservationalstudiescorrectedfortheregressiondilutionbias
AT abbottr bloodpressurestrokeandcoronaryheartdiseasepart1prolongeddifferencesinbloodpressureprospectiveobservationalstudiescorrectedfortheregressiondilutionbias
AT godwinj bloodpressurestrokeandcoronaryheartdiseasepart1prolongeddifferencesinbloodpressureprospectiveobservationalstudiescorrectedfortheregressiondilutionbias
AT dyera bloodpressurestrokeandcoronaryheartdiseasepart1prolongeddifferencesinbloodpressureprospectiveobservationalstudiescorrectedfortheregressiondilutionbias
AT stamlerj bloodpressurestrokeandcoronaryheartdiseasepart1prolongeddifferencesinbloodpressureprospectiveobservationalstudiescorrectedfortheregressiondilutionbias