Subjective confidence predicts information seeking in decision making

There is currently little direct evidence regarding the function of subjective confidence in decision making: The tight correlation between objective accuracy and subjective confidence makes it difficult to distinguish each variable’s unique contribution. Here, we created conditions in a perceptual...

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Main Authors: Desender, K, Boldt, A, Yeung, N
Format: Journal article
Published: SAGE Publications 2018
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author Desender, K
Boldt, A
Yeung, N
author_facet Desender, K
Boldt, A
Yeung, N
author_sort Desender, K
collection OXFORD
description There is currently little direct evidence regarding the function of subjective confidence in decision making: The tight correlation between objective accuracy and subjective confidence makes it difficult to distinguish each variable’s unique contribution. Here, we created conditions in a perceptual decision task that were matched in accuracy but differed in subjective evaluation of accuracy by orthogonally varying the strength versus variability of evidence. Confidence was reduced with variable (vs. weak) evidence, even across conditions matched for difficulty. Building on this dissociation, we constructed a paradigm in which participants (N = 20) could choose to seek further information before making their decision. The data provided clear support for the hypothesis that subjective confidence predicts information seeking in decision making: Participants were more likely to sample additional information before giving a response in the condition with low confidence, despite matched accuracy. In a preregistered replication (N = 50), these findings were replicated with increased task difficulty levels.
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spelling oxford-uuid:17c01c36-2c31-4549-a663-01c28dddbda22022-03-26T10:39:19ZSubjective confidence predicts information seeking in decision makingJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:17c01c36-2c31-4549-a663-01c28dddbda2Symplectic Elements at OxfordSAGE Publications2018Desender, KBoldt, AYeung, NThere is currently little direct evidence regarding the function of subjective confidence in decision making: The tight correlation between objective accuracy and subjective confidence makes it difficult to distinguish each variable’s unique contribution. Here, we created conditions in a perceptual decision task that were matched in accuracy but differed in subjective evaluation of accuracy by orthogonally varying the strength versus variability of evidence. Confidence was reduced with variable (vs. weak) evidence, even across conditions matched for difficulty. Building on this dissociation, we constructed a paradigm in which participants (N = 20) could choose to seek further information before making their decision. The data provided clear support for the hypothesis that subjective confidence predicts information seeking in decision making: Participants were more likely to sample additional information before giving a response in the condition with low confidence, despite matched accuracy. In a preregistered replication (N = 50), these findings were replicated with increased task difficulty levels.
spellingShingle Desender, K
Boldt, A
Yeung, N
Subjective confidence predicts information seeking in decision making
title Subjective confidence predicts information seeking in decision making
title_full Subjective confidence predicts information seeking in decision making
title_fullStr Subjective confidence predicts information seeking in decision making
title_full_unstemmed Subjective confidence predicts information seeking in decision making
title_short Subjective confidence predicts information seeking in decision making
title_sort subjective confidence predicts information seeking in decision making
work_keys_str_mv AT desenderk subjectiveconfidencepredictsinformationseekingindecisionmaking
AT boldta subjectiveconfidencepredictsinformationseekingindecisionmaking
AT yeungn subjectiveconfidencepredictsinformationseekingindecisionmaking