Concepts of existential catastrophe
<p>The notion of existential catastrophe is increasingly appealed to in discussion of risk management around emerging technologies, but it is not completely clear what this notion amounts to. Here, I provide an opinionated survey of the space of plausibly useful definitions of existential cata...
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| Format: | Journal article |
| Language: | English |
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Oxford University Press
2024
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| _version_ | 1811139347322241024 |
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| author | Greaves, H |
| author_facet | Greaves, H |
| author_sort | Greaves, H |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | <p>The notion of existential catastrophe is increasingly appealed to in discussion of risk management around emerging technologies, but it is not completely clear what this notion amounts to. Here, I provide an opinionated survey of the space of plausibly useful definitions of existential catastrophe. <em>Inter alia</em>, I discuss: whether to define existential catastrophe in <em>ex post</em> or <em>ex ante</em> terms, whether an <em>ex ante</em> definition should be in terms of loss of expected value or loss of potential, and what kind of probabilities should be involved in any appeal to expected value.</p> |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-25T04:04:38Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:19544738-9b3c-4d66-8f10-1b06c00a7ed9 |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-25T04:04:38Z |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publisher | Oxford University Press |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:19544738-9b3c-4d66-8f10-1b06c00a7ed92024-05-29T14:38:20ZConcepts of existential catastropheJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:19544738-9b3c-4d66-8f10-1b06c00a7ed9EnglishSymplectic ElementsOxford University Press2024Greaves, H<p>The notion of existential catastrophe is increasingly appealed to in discussion of risk management around emerging technologies, but it is not completely clear what this notion amounts to. Here, I provide an opinionated survey of the space of plausibly useful definitions of existential catastrophe. <em>Inter alia</em>, I discuss: whether to define existential catastrophe in <em>ex post</em> or <em>ex ante</em> terms, whether an <em>ex ante</em> definition should be in terms of loss of expected value or loss of potential, and what kind of probabilities should be involved in any appeal to expected value.</p> |
| spellingShingle | Greaves, H Concepts of existential catastrophe |
| title | Concepts of existential catastrophe |
| title_full | Concepts of existential catastrophe |
| title_fullStr | Concepts of existential catastrophe |
| title_full_unstemmed | Concepts of existential catastrophe |
| title_short | Concepts of existential catastrophe |
| title_sort | concepts of existential catastrophe |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT greavesh conceptsofexistentialcatastrophe |