Testing the neocon agenda: democracy in resource-rich societies

Resource-rich countries have tended to be autocratic and also have tended to use their resource wealth badly. The neoconservative agenda of promoting democratization in resource-rich countries thus offers the hopeful prospect of a better use of their economic opportunities. This paper examines wheth...

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Main Authors: Collier, P, Hoeffler, A
Format: Working paper
Published: University of Oxford 2008
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author Collier, P
Hoeffler, A
author_facet Collier, P
Hoeffler, A
author_sort Collier, P
collection OXFORD
description Resource-rich countries have tended to be autocratic and also have tended to use their resource wealth badly. The neoconservative agenda of promoting democratization in resource-rich countries thus offers the hopeful prospect of a better use of their economic opportunities. This paper examines whether the effect of democracy on economic performance is distinctive in resource-rich societies. We show that a priori the sign of the effect is ambiguous: resource rents could either enhance or undermine the economic consequences of democracy. We therefore investigate the issue empirically. We first build a new data set on country-specific resource rents, annually for the period 1970-2001. Using a global panel data set we find that in developing countries the combination of high natural resource rents and open democratic systems has been growth-reducing. Checks and balances offset this adverse effect. Thus, resource-rich economies need a distinctive form of democracy with particularly strong checks and balances. Unfortunately this is rare: checks and balances are public goods and so are liable to be undersupplied in new democracies. Over time they are eroded by resource rents.
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spelling oxford-uuid:19ea9d71-c0e1-4aa8-9534-1700f2c6c3142022-03-26T10:51:45ZTesting the neocon agenda: democracy in resource-rich societiesWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:19ea9d71-c0e1-4aa8-9534-1700f2c6c314Bulk import via SwordSymplectic ElementsUniversity of Oxford2008Collier, PHoeffler, AResource-rich countries have tended to be autocratic and also have tended to use their resource wealth badly. The neoconservative agenda of promoting democratization in resource-rich countries thus offers the hopeful prospect of a better use of their economic opportunities. This paper examines whether the effect of democracy on economic performance is distinctive in resource-rich societies. We show that a priori the sign of the effect is ambiguous: resource rents could either enhance or undermine the economic consequences of democracy. We therefore investigate the issue empirically. We first build a new data set on country-specific resource rents, annually for the period 1970-2001. Using a global panel data set we find that in developing countries the combination of high natural resource rents and open democratic systems has been growth-reducing. Checks and balances offset this adverse effect. Thus, resource-rich economies need a distinctive form of democracy with particularly strong checks and balances. Unfortunately this is rare: checks and balances are public goods and so are liable to be undersupplied in new democracies. Over time they are eroded by resource rents.
spellingShingle Collier, P
Hoeffler, A
Testing the neocon agenda: democracy in resource-rich societies
title Testing the neocon agenda: democracy in resource-rich societies
title_full Testing the neocon agenda: democracy in resource-rich societies
title_fullStr Testing the neocon agenda: democracy in resource-rich societies
title_full_unstemmed Testing the neocon agenda: democracy in resource-rich societies
title_short Testing the neocon agenda: democracy in resource-rich societies
title_sort testing the neocon agenda democracy in resource rich societies
work_keys_str_mv AT collierp testingtheneoconagendademocracyinresourcerichsocieties
AT hoefflera testingtheneoconagendademocracyinresourcerichsocieties