Forecasting Pitfalls
The paper highlights the pitfalls of forecasting by considering a trip by car—but with inaccurate maps in a world where roads are unexpectedly shut or opened. Behind the scenes lies a new theoretical framework for economic forecasting which acknowledges that economic models are simplified representa...
المؤلف الرئيسي: | |
---|---|
التنسيق: | Journal article |
منشور في: |
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
2003
|