Power sector asset stranding effects of climate policies

Energy sector decarbonization to limit the temperature rise to well-below 2°C will result in stranded assets and capital stock replacement before its technical lifetime ends. In this paper, stranded assets in the global power sector are quantified based on a simplified bottom-up analysis that consid...

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Main Authors: Saygin, D, Rigter, J, Caldecott, B, Wagner, N, Gielen, D
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Taylor and Francis 2019
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author Saygin, D
Rigter, J
Caldecott, B
Wagner, N
Gielen, D
author_facet Saygin, D
Rigter, J
Caldecott, B
Wagner, N
Gielen, D
author_sort Saygin, D
collection OXFORD
description Energy sector decarbonization to limit the temperature rise to well-below 2°C will result in stranded assets and capital stock replacement before its technical lifetime ends. In this paper, stranded assets in the global power sector are quantified based on a simplified bottom-up analysis that considers the capital stock turnover of fossil fuel-fired power plants in the G20 countries between 2015 and 2050. Power sector transformation starting now based on accelerated deployment of renewables results in US dollar (USD) 927 billion of global power sector stranded assets by 2050. Stranded coal assets would represent around three-quarters of total stranded assets value and China alone would represent 45% of the total. Delaying action to mitigate climate change until 2030 doubles stranded asset value. Countries should consider assets’ age profile characteristics in their decision making. Early action and avoidance of investments in new carbon-intensive assets can minimize stranded asset risks.
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spelling oxford-uuid:1a4bffbc-268e-47e2-a881-8b2c092f99452024-02-23T10:08:45ZPower sector asset stranding effects of climate policiesJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:1a4bffbc-268e-47e2-a881-8b2c092f9945EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordTaylor and Francis2019Saygin, DRigter, JCaldecott, BWagner, NGielen, DEnergy sector decarbonization to limit the temperature rise to well-below 2°C will result in stranded assets and capital stock replacement before its technical lifetime ends. In this paper, stranded assets in the global power sector are quantified based on a simplified bottom-up analysis that considers the capital stock turnover of fossil fuel-fired power plants in the G20 countries between 2015 and 2050. Power sector transformation starting now based on accelerated deployment of renewables results in US dollar (USD) 927 billion of global power sector stranded assets by 2050. Stranded coal assets would represent around three-quarters of total stranded assets value and China alone would represent 45% of the total. Delaying action to mitigate climate change until 2030 doubles stranded asset value. Countries should consider assets’ age profile characteristics in their decision making. Early action and avoidance of investments in new carbon-intensive assets can minimize stranded asset risks.
spellingShingle Saygin, D
Rigter, J
Caldecott, B
Wagner, N
Gielen, D
Power sector asset stranding effects of climate policies
title Power sector asset stranding effects of climate policies
title_full Power sector asset stranding effects of climate policies
title_fullStr Power sector asset stranding effects of climate policies
title_full_unstemmed Power sector asset stranding effects of climate policies
title_short Power sector asset stranding effects of climate policies
title_sort power sector asset stranding effects of climate policies
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AT rigterj powersectorassetstrandingeffectsofclimatepolicies
AT caldecottb powersectorassetstrandingeffectsofclimatepolicies
AT wagnern powersectorassetstrandingeffectsofclimatepolicies
AT gielend powersectorassetstrandingeffectsofclimatepolicies