Understanding the global subnational migration patterns driven by hydrological intrusion exposure

Amid the escalating global climatic challenges, hydrological risks significantly influence human settlement patterns, underscoring the imperative for an in-depth comprehension of hydrological change’s ramifications on human migration. However, predominant research has been circumscribed to the natio...

Täydet tiedot

Bibliografiset tiedot
Päätekijät: Qiao, R, Gao, S, Liu, X, Xia, L, Zhang, G, Meng, X, Liu, Z, Wang, M, Zhou, S, Wu, Z
Aineistotyyppi: Journal article
Kieli:English
Julkaistu: Nature Research 2024
_version_ 1826314803648397312
author Qiao, R
Gao, S
Liu, X
Xia, L
Zhang, G
Meng, X
Liu, Z
Wang, M
Zhou, S
Wu, Z
author_facet Qiao, R
Gao, S
Liu, X
Xia, L
Zhang, G
Meng, X
Liu, Z
Wang, M
Zhou, S
Wu, Z
author_sort Qiao, R
collection OXFORD
description Amid the escalating global climatic challenges, hydrological risks significantly influence human settlement patterns, underscoring the imperative for an in-depth comprehension of hydrological change’s ramifications on human migration. However, predominant research has been circumscribed to the national level. The study delves into the nonlinear effects of hydrological risks on migration dynamics in 46,776 global subnational units. Meanwhile, leveraging remote sensing, we procured globally consistent metrics of hydrological intrusion exposure, offering a holistic risk assessment encompassing hazard, exposure, and vulnerability dimensions, thus complementing previous work. Here, we show that exposure is the primary migration driver, surpassing socioeconomic factors. Surrounding disparities further intensified exposure’s impact. Vulnerable groups, especially the economically disadvantaged and elderly, tend to remain in high-risk areas, with the former predominantly migrating within proximate vicinities. The nonlinear analysis delineates an S-shaped trajectory for hydrological exposure, transitioning from resistance to migration and culminating in entrapment, revealing dependence on settlement resilience and adaptability.
first_indexed 2024-09-25T04:19:56Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:1a6c15b5-b5de-426e-8dcd-43d33da308bc
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-09T03:13:35Z
publishDate 2024
publisher Nature Research
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:1a6c15b5-b5de-426e-8dcd-43d33da308bc2024-10-16T09:22:09ZUnderstanding the global subnational migration patterns driven by hydrological intrusion exposureJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:1a6c15b5-b5de-426e-8dcd-43d33da308bcEnglishJisc Publications RouterNature Research2024Qiao, RGao, SLiu, XXia, LZhang, GMeng, XLiu, ZWang, MZhou, SWu, ZAmid the escalating global climatic challenges, hydrological risks significantly influence human settlement patterns, underscoring the imperative for an in-depth comprehension of hydrological change’s ramifications on human migration. However, predominant research has been circumscribed to the national level. The study delves into the nonlinear effects of hydrological risks on migration dynamics in 46,776 global subnational units. Meanwhile, leveraging remote sensing, we procured globally consistent metrics of hydrological intrusion exposure, offering a holistic risk assessment encompassing hazard, exposure, and vulnerability dimensions, thus complementing previous work. Here, we show that exposure is the primary migration driver, surpassing socioeconomic factors. Surrounding disparities further intensified exposure’s impact. Vulnerable groups, especially the economically disadvantaged and elderly, tend to remain in high-risk areas, with the former predominantly migrating within proximate vicinities. The nonlinear analysis delineates an S-shaped trajectory for hydrological exposure, transitioning from resistance to migration and culminating in entrapment, revealing dependence on settlement resilience and adaptability.
spellingShingle Qiao, R
Gao, S
Liu, X
Xia, L
Zhang, G
Meng, X
Liu, Z
Wang, M
Zhou, S
Wu, Z
Understanding the global subnational migration patterns driven by hydrological intrusion exposure
title Understanding the global subnational migration patterns driven by hydrological intrusion exposure
title_full Understanding the global subnational migration patterns driven by hydrological intrusion exposure
title_fullStr Understanding the global subnational migration patterns driven by hydrological intrusion exposure
title_full_unstemmed Understanding the global subnational migration patterns driven by hydrological intrusion exposure
title_short Understanding the global subnational migration patterns driven by hydrological intrusion exposure
title_sort understanding the global subnational migration patterns driven by hydrological intrusion exposure
work_keys_str_mv AT qiaor understandingtheglobalsubnationalmigrationpatternsdrivenbyhydrologicalintrusionexposure
AT gaos understandingtheglobalsubnationalmigrationpatternsdrivenbyhydrologicalintrusionexposure
AT liux understandingtheglobalsubnationalmigrationpatternsdrivenbyhydrologicalintrusionexposure
AT xial understandingtheglobalsubnationalmigrationpatternsdrivenbyhydrologicalintrusionexposure
AT zhangg understandingtheglobalsubnationalmigrationpatternsdrivenbyhydrologicalintrusionexposure
AT mengx understandingtheglobalsubnationalmigrationpatternsdrivenbyhydrologicalintrusionexposure
AT liuz understandingtheglobalsubnationalmigrationpatternsdrivenbyhydrologicalintrusionexposure
AT wangm understandingtheglobalsubnationalmigrationpatternsdrivenbyhydrologicalintrusionexposure
AT zhous understandingtheglobalsubnationalmigrationpatternsdrivenbyhydrologicalintrusionexposure
AT wuz understandingtheglobalsubnationalmigrationpatternsdrivenbyhydrologicalintrusionexposure