Asymptotic behaviour of the CUSUM of squares test under stochastic and deterministic time trends.

We undertake a generalization of the cumulative sum of squares (CUSQ) test to the case of non-stationary autoregressive distributed lag models with quite general deterministic time trends. The test may be validly implemented with either ordinary least squares residuals or standardized forecast error...

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Main Authors: Nielsen, B, Sohkanen, J
Format: Working paper
Language:English
Published: Nuffield College (University of Oxford) 2009
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author Nielsen, B
Sohkanen, J
author_facet Nielsen, B
Sohkanen, J
author_sort Nielsen, B
collection OXFORD
description We undertake a generalization of the cumulative sum of squares (CUSQ) test to the case of non-stationary autoregressive distributed lag models with quite general deterministic time trends. The test may be validly implemented with either ordinary least squares residuals or standardized forecast errors. Simulations suggest that there is little at stake in the choice between the two in the unit root case under Gaussian innovations, and that there is only very modest variation in the finite sample distribution across the parameter space.
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spelling oxford-uuid:1bbc9cb2-724a-4df6-8c3a-e5d2653e76042022-03-26T11:02:02ZAsymptotic behaviour of the CUSUM of squares test under stochastic and deterministic time trends.Working paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:1bbc9cb2-724a-4df6-8c3a-e5d2653e7604EnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrintsNuffield College (University of Oxford)2009Nielsen, BSohkanen, JWe undertake a generalization of the cumulative sum of squares (CUSQ) test to the case of non-stationary autoregressive distributed lag models with quite general deterministic time trends. The test may be validly implemented with either ordinary least squares residuals or standardized forecast errors. Simulations suggest that there is little at stake in the choice between the two in the unit root case under Gaussian innovations, and that there is only very modest variation in the finite sample distribution across the parameter space.
spellingShingle Nielsen, B
Sohkanen, J
Asymptotic behaviour of the CUSUM of squares test under stochastic and deterministic time trends.
title Asymptotic behaviour of the CUSUM of squares test under stochastic and deterministic time trends.
title_full Asymptotic behaviour of the CUSUM of squares test under stochastic and deterministic time trends.
title_fullStr Asymptotic behaviour of the CUSUM of squares test under stochastic and deterministic time trends.
title_full_unstemmed Asymptotic behaviour of the CUSUM of squares test under stochastic and deterministic time trends.
title_short Asymptotic behaviour of the CUSUM of squares test under stochastic and deterministic time trends.
title_sort asymptotic behaviour of the cusum of squares test under stochastic and deterministic time trends
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AT sohkanenj asymptoticbehaviourofthecusumofsquarestestunderstochasticanddeterministictimetrends