VAT notches, voluntary registration, and bunching: Theory and UK evidence

Using adminstrative tax records for UK businesses, we document both bunching in annual turnover below the VAT registration threshold and persistent voluntary registration by almost half of the firms below the threshold. We develop a conceptual framework that can simultaneously explain these two appa...

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Main Authors: Liu, L, Lockwood, B, Almunia, M, Tam, H
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press 2019
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author Liu, L
Lockwood, B
Almunia, M
Tam, H
author_facet Liu, L
Lockwood, B
Almunia, M
Tam, H
author_sort Liu, L
collection OXFORD
description Using adminstrative tax records for UK businesses, we document both bunching in annual turnover below the VAT registration threshold and persistent voluntary registration by almost half of the firms below the threshold. We develop a conceptual framework that can simultaneously explain these two apparently conflicting facts. The framework also predicts that higher intermediate input shares, lower product-market competition and a lower share of business to consumer (B2C) sales lead to voluntary registration. The predictions are exactly the opposite for bunching. We test the theory using linked VAT and corporation tax records from 2004-2014, finding empirical support for these predictions.
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spelling oxford-uuid:1d7beae7-73ee-4309-a2d7-934bd25a8dc12022-03-26T11:11:03ZVAT notches, voluntary registration, and bunching: Theory and UK evidenceJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:1d7beae7-73ee-4309-a2d7-934bd25a8dc1EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordMassachusetts Institute of Technology Press2019Liu, LLockwood, BAlmunia, MTam, HUsing adminstrative tax records for UK businesses, we document both bunching in annual turnover below the VAT registration threshold and persistent voluntary registration by almost half of the firms below the threshold. We develop a conceptual framework that can simultaneously explain these two apparently conflicting facts. The framework also predicts that higher intermediate input shares, lower product-market competition and a lower share of business to consumer (B2C) sales lead to voluntary registration. The predictions are exactly the opposite for bunching. We test the theory using linked VAT and corporation tax records from 2004-2014, finding empirical support for these predictions.
spellingShingle Liu, L
Lockwood, B
Almunia, M
Tam, H
VAT notches, voluntary registration, and bunching: Theory and UK evidence
title VAT notches, voluntary registration, and bunching: Theory and UK evidence
title_full VAT notches, voluntary registration, and bunching: Theory and UK evidence
title_fullStr VAT notches, voluntary registration, and bunching: Theory and UK evidence
title_full_unstemmed VAT notches, voluntary registration, and bunching: Theory and UK evidence
title_short VAT notches, voluntary registration, and bunching: Theory and UK evidence
title_sort vat notches voluntary registration and bunching theory and uk evidence
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AT lockwoodb vatnotchesvoluntaryregistrationandbunchingtheoryandukevidence
AT almuniam vatnotchesvoluntaryregistrationandbunchingtheoryandukevidence
AT tamh vatnotchesvoluntaryregistrationandbunchingtheoryandukevidence