A topological perspective on weather regimes

It has long been suggested that the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation possesses what has come to be known as ‘weather regimes’, loosely categorised as regions of phase space with above-average density and/or extended persistence. Their existence and behaviour has been extensively studied in meteo...

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Main Authors: Strommen, K, Chantry, M, Dorrington, J, Otter, N
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2022
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author Strommen, K
Chantry, M
Dorrington, J
Otter, N
author_facet Strommen, K
Chantry, M
Dorrington, J
Otter, N
author_sort Strommen, K
collection OXFORD
description It has long been suggested that the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation possesses what has come to be known as ‘weather regimes’, loosely categorised as regions of phase space with above-average density and/or extended persistence. Their existence and behaviour has been extensively studied in meteorology and climate science, due to their potential for drastically simplifying the complex and chaotic mid-latitude dynamics. Several well-known, simple non-linear dynamical systems have been used as toy-models of the atmosphere in order to understand and exemplify such regime behaviour. Nevertheless, no agreed-upon and clear-cut definition of a ‘regime’ exists in the literature, and unambiguously detecting their existence in the atmospheric circulation is stymied by the high dimensionality of the system. We argue here for an approach which equates the existence of regimes in a dynamical system with the existence of non-trivial topological structure of the system’s attractor. We show using persistent homology, an algorithmic tool in topological data analysis, that this approach is computationally tractable, practically informative, and identifies the relevant regime structure across a range of examples.
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spelling oxford-uuid:215030d8-9d92-4fab-b268-cffe641475aa2023-07-11T10:50:08ZA topological perspective on weather regimesJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:215030d8-9d92-4fab-b268-cffe641475aaEnglishSymplectic ElementsSpringer2022Strommen, KChantry, MDorrington, JOtter, NIt has long been suggested that the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation possesses what has come to be known as ‘weather regimes’, loosely categorised as regions of phase space with above-average density and/or extended persistence. Their existence and behaviour has been extensively studied in meteorology and climate science, due to their potential for drastically simplifying the complex and chaotic mid-latitude dynamics. Several well-known, simple non-linear dynamical systems have been used as toy-models of the atmosphere in order to understand and exemplify such regime behaviour. Nevertheless, no agreed-upon and clear-cut definition of a ‘regime’ exists in the literature, and unambiguously detecting their existence in the atmospheric circulation is stymied by the high dimensionality of the system. We argue here for an approach which equates the existence of regimes in a dynamical system with the existence of non-trivial topological structure of the system’s attractor. We show using persistent homology, an algorithmic tool in topological data analysis, that this approach is computationally tractable, practically informative, and identifies the relevant regime structure across a range of examples.
spellingShingle Strommen, K
Chantry, M
Dorrington, J
Otter, N
A topological perspective on weather regimes
title A topological perspective on weather regimes
title_full A topological perspective on weather regimes
title_fullStr A topological perspective on weather regimes
title_full_unstemmed A topological perspective on weather regimes
title_short A topological perspective on weather regimes
title_sort topological perspective on weather regimes
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AT chantrym atopologicalperspectiveonweatherregimes
AT dorringtonj atopologicalperspectiveonweatherregimes
AT ottern atopologicalperspectiveonweatherregimes
AT strommenk topologicalperspectiveonweatherregimes
AT chantrym topologicalperspectiveonweatherregimes
AT dorringtonj topologicalperspectiveonweatherregimes
AT ottern topologicalperspectiveonweatherregimes