EPINEST, an agent-based model to simulate epidemic dynamics in large-scale poultry production and distribution networks

The rapid intensification of poultry production raises important concerns about the associated risks of zoonotic infections. Here, we introduce EPINEST (EPIdemic NEtwork Simulation in poultry Transportation systems): an agent-based modelling framework designed to simulate pathogen transmission withi...

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Main Authors: Pinotti, F, Lourenço, J, Gupta, S, Das Gupta, S, Henning, J, Blake, D, Tomley, F, Barnett, T, Pfeiffer, D, Hoque, MA, Fournié, G
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science 2024
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author Pinotti, F
Lourenço, J
Gupta, S
Das Gupta, S
Henning, J
Blake, D
Tomley, F
Barnett, T
Pfeiffer, D
Hoque, MA
Fournié, G
author_facet Pinotti, F
Lourenço, J
Gupta, S
Das Gupta, S
Henning, J
Blake, D
Tomley, F
Barnett, T
Pfeiffer, D
Hoque, MA
Fournié, G
author_sort Pinotti, F
collection OXFORD
description The rapid intensification of poultry production raises important concerns about the associated risks of zoonotic infections. Here, we introduce EPINEST (EPIdemic NEtwork Simulation in poultry Transportation systems): an agent-based modelling framework designed to simulate pathogen transmission within realistic poultry production and distribution networks. We provide example applications to broiler production in Bangladesh, but the modular structure of the model allows for easy parameterization to suit specific countries and system configurations. Moreover, the framework enables the replication of a wide range of eco-epidemiological scenarios by incorporating diverse pathogen life-history traits, modes of transmission and interactions between multiple strains and/or pathogens. EPINEST was developed in the context of an interdisciplinary multi-centre study conducted in Bangladesh, India, Vietnam and Sri Lanka, and will facilitate the investigation of the spreading patterns of various health hazards such as avian influenza, Campylobacter, Salmonella and antimicrobial resistance in these countries. Furthermore, this modelling framework holds potential for broader application in veterinary epidemiology and One Health research, extending its relevance beyond poultry to encompass other livestock species and disease systems.
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spelling oxford-uuid:21509196-71b0-4dc7-be69-507feea7f6bf2024-05-22T15:15:50ZEPINEST, an agent-based model to simulate epidemic dynamics in large-scale poultry production and distribution networksJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:21509196-71b0-4dc7-be69-507feea7f6bfEnglishSymplectic ElementsPublic Library of Science2024Pinotti, FLourenço, JGupta, SDas Gupta, SHenning, JBlake, DTomley, FBarnett, TPfeiffer, DHoque, MAFournié, GThe rapid intensification of poultry production raises important concerns about the associated risks of zoonotic infections. Here, we introduce EPINEST (EPIdemic NEtwork Simulation in poultry Transportation systems): an agent-based modelling framework designed to simulate pathogen transmission within realistic poultry production and distribution networks. We provide example applications to broiler production in Bangladesh, but the modular structure of the model allows for easy parameterization to suit specific countries and system configurations. Moreover, the framework enables the replication of a wide range of eco-epidemiological scenarios by incorporating diverse pathogen life-history traits, modes of transmission and interactions between multiple strains and/or pathogens. EPINEST was developed in the context of an interdisciplinary multi-centre study conducted in Bangladesh, India, Vietnam and Sri Lanka, and will facilitate the investigation of the spreading patterns of various health hazards such as avian influenza, Campylobacter, Salmonella and antimicrobial resistance in these countries. Furthermore, this modelling framework holds potential for broader application in veterinary epidemiology and One Health research, extending its relevance beyond poultry to encompass other livestock species and disease systems.
spellingShingle Pinotti, F
Lourenço, J
Gupta, S
Das Gupta, S
Henning, J
Blake, D
Tomley, F
Barnett, T
Pfeiffer, D
Hoque, MA
Fournié, G
EPINEST, an agent-based model to simulate epidemic dynamics in large-scale poultry production and distribution networks
title EPINEST, an agent-based model to simulate epidemic dynamics in large-scale poultry production and distribution networks
title_full EPINEST, an agent-based model to simulate epidemic dynamics in large-scale poultry production and distribution networks
title_fullStr EPINEST, an agent-based model to simulate epidemic dynamics in large-scale poultry production and distribution networks
title_full_unstemmed EPINEST, an agent-based model to simulate epidemic dynamics in large-scale poultry production and distribution networks
title_short EPINEST, an agent-based model to simulate epidemic dynamics in large-scale poultry production and distribution networks
title_sort epinest an agent based model to simulate epidemic dynamics in large scale poultry production and distribution networks
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